Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 6 September at 20:30. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Gil Vicente

0–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–0

Academico Viseu

What Janus-12 said

80%

Gil Vicente or draw

84% success over 37 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 20 %

A prediction at 80 % fails 20 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Gil Vicente or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 03:11.

Sealed on 06/09, 20:30announced on 23/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 28 matches in this league
67%✗
74% success over 23 matches in this league
60%✓
64% success over 28 matches in this league
59%✓
54% success over 37 matches in this league
51%✗
53% success over 19 matches in this league
58%✓

Primeira Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Gil Vicente or draw80%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Gil Vicente had 33 shots against 6, for 0 goal against 1.
- Gil Vicente chased the score almost all match: Academico Viseu scored as early as the 4th minute.
Over 1.5 goals67%lost
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Draw or Academico Viseu ahead at half-time60%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 4′ Academico Viseu.
One team ahead at half-time59%held
Gil Vicente to win51%lost
Under 2.5 goals58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGil Vicente 9th, Academico Viseu 7th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Academico Viseu (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Gil Vicente or draw” goes from 83.8% to 81.6% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Gil Vicente on the left, Academico Viseu on the right.

First half

Goal · João Guilherme (assist : Cihan Kahraman)4'
24'Substitution · Weverson ⇄ David Moreira
45'Substitution · Jose Carlos Natario Ferreira ⇄ Andreas Lausen
45'Substitution · Gil Pinto Martins ⇄ Mohamed Kaba

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Robinho56'
Substitution · Alvaro Zamora ⇄ Lorougnon Gohi60'
63'Substitution · Ricardo Esgaio ⇄ José Silva
Substitution · Cihan Kahraman ⇄ Alejandro Mestanza67'
Substitution · Robinho ⇄ Tomas Domingos67'
71'Substitution · Joelson Fernandes ⇄ Tidjany Chabrol Toure
Substitution · João Guilherme ⇄ Nils Mortimer74'
Substitution · Gustavo Costa ⇄ Miguel Ángel Brau Blanquez74'
Yellow card · Tomas Domingos81'

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Gil Vicente or draw80%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Gil Vicente had 33 shots against 6, for 0 goal against 1.
- Gil Vicente chased the score almost all match: Academico Viseu scored as early as the 4th minute.
Over 1.5 goals67%lost
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Draw or Academico Viseu ahead at half-time60%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 4′ Academico Viseu.
One team ahead at half-time59%held
Gil Vicente to win51%lost
Under 2.5 goals58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGil Vicente 9th, Academico Viseu 7th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Academico Viseu (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1

What it changes

In this league, “Gil Vicente or draw” goes from 83.8% to 81.6% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,746 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes