Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Monday, 7 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 7 September at 20:15. Originally planned for Sunday 6 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Estoril

0–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–0

Arouca

What Janus-12 said

74%

Estoril or Arouca

82% success over 38 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Estoril or Arouca

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 07/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 07/09, 20:15announced on 23/08/2026, 15 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 29 matches in this league
73%✗
75% success over 24 matches in this league
78%✓
67% success over 9 matches in this league
50%✗
66% success over 29 matches in this league
56%✗

Primeira Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

1/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Estoril or Arouca74%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 0 goal.
Over 1.5 goals73%lost
Draw or Arouca ahead at half-time78%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 2.5 goals50%lost
One team ahead at half-time56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEstoril 18th, Arouca 5th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Estoril or Arouca” goes from 81.6% to 79.5% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,908 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Estoril on the left, Arouca on the right.

First half

30'Yellow card · Antef Tsoungui
45'Yellow card · Francisco Reis Ferreira
Substitution · Espen van Ee ⇄ Pedro Santos45'
45'Substitution · Antef Tsoungui ⇄ Jordan Arnolin

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

71'Yellow card · Jordan Arnolin
72'Yellow card · João Carvalho
75'Substitution · Fabrício Garcia ⇄ André Tiago Ramos das Neves
Substitution · Pablo Gozálbez ⇄ Mateo Flores75'
Substitution · Iván Barbero ⇄ Dylan Nandín75'
79'Substitution · Ricard Sanchez Sendra ⇄ Pedro Carvalho
79'Substitution · André Lacximicant ⇄ Rafik Guitane
Substitution · Alfonso Trezza ⇄ Brian Mansilla85'
85'Substitution · Jordan Holsgrove ⇄ Tiago Brito
Yellow card · Brian Mansilla86'

What we announced

1/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Estoril or Arouca74%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 0 goal.
Over 1.5 goals73%lost
Draw or Arouca ahead at half-time78%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 2.5 goals50%lost
One team ahead at half-time56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEstoril 18th, Arouca 5th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Estoril or Arouca” goes from 81.6% to 79.5% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,908 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes