Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

Rio Ave

0-4full timeHT 0–4 · 2H 0–0

Sp Lisbon

What Janus-12 said

91%

Draw or Sp Lisbon

86% success over 21 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Sp Lisbon

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 00:31.

Sealed on 28/08, 20:15announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 12 matches in this league
80%✓
75% success over 12 matches in this league
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58% success over 12 matches in this league
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58% success over 12 matches in this league
57%✓
43% success over 21 matches in this league
77%✓

Primeira Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Sp Lisbon91%held
- Sp Lisbon took the lead in the 5th minute and never let it go.
- Sp Lisbon took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.
Over 1.5 goals80%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 5th minute, 4 in total.
- The chances said so: 2.35 expected goals in total.
One team ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-4 at half-time, 5′ Sp Lisbon, 19′ Sp Lisbon, 26′ Sp Lisbon, 37′ Sp Lisbon.
Draw or Sp Lisbon ahead at half-time90%held
Over 2.5 goals57%held
Sp Lisbon to win77%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRio Ave 16th, Sp Lisbon 3rd (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Sp Lisbon (0-1)
During the match19′ Sp Lisbon go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-4

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Sp Lisbon” goes from 85.7% to 86.4% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Rio Ave on the left, Sp Lisbon on the right.

First half

Goal · F. Goncalves (assist : I. Doumbia)5'
Goal · G. Catamo (assist : F. Goncalves)19'
Goal · L. Suarez26'
Goal · L. Suarez (assist : M. Araujo)37'

Half-time0 - 4

Second half

Yellow card · L. Suarez51'
60'Yellow card · T. Nikitscher
Substitution · G. Catamo ⇄ Luis Guilherme65'
Substitution · F. Goncalves ⇄ F. Ioannidis65'
Substitution · I. Doumbia ⇄ S. Andersen65'
66'Substitution · Diogo Bezerra ⇄ M. Sellouki
75'Substitution · D. Spikic ⇄ R. Galcik
75'Substitution · T. Nikitscher ⇄ A. Wenck
Substitution · R. Zalazar ⇄ N. Irankunda81'
86'Substitution · J. Blesa ⇄ Caike
Substitution · L. Suarez ⇄ J. Derry86'
86'Substitution · M. Vrousai ⇄ M. Patricio

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Sp Lisbon91%held
- Sp Lisbon took the lead in the 5th minute and never let it go.
- Sp Lisbon took control early: opening goal in the 5th minute.
Over 1.5 goals80%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 5th minute, 4 in total.
- The chances said so: 2.35 expected goals in total.
One team ahead at half-time65%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-4 at half-time, 5′ Sp Lisbon, 19′ Sp Lisbon, 26′ Sp Lisbon, 37′ Sp Lisbon.
Draw or Sp Lisbon ahead at half-time90%held
Over 2.5 goals57%held
Sp Lisbon to win77%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRio Ave 16th, Sp Lisbon 3rd (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Sp Lisbon (0-1)
During the match19′ Sp Lisbon go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-4

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Sp Lisbon” goes from 85.7% to 86.4% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes