Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Alverca

1-1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Santa Clara

What Janus-12 said

70%

Alverca or Santa Clara

86% success over 22 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 30 %

A prediction at 70 % fails 30 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Alverca or Santa Clara

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 04:49.

Sealed on 29/08, 15:30announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

85% success over 13 matches in this league
66%✓
77% success over 13 matches in this league
54%✗
64% success over 11 matches in this league
76%✓
63% success over 8 matches in this league
60%✓

Primeira Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Alverca or Santa Clara70%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The two teams had 4 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
One team ahead at half-time54%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Draw or Santa Clara ahead at half-time76%held
Under 2.5 goals60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlverca 10th, Santa Clara 4th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match69′ opening goal, Alverca (1-0)
During the match87′ equaliser, Santa Clara (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Alverca or Santa Clara” goes from 86.4% to 82.6% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Alverca on the left, Santa Clara on the right.

First half

21'Substitution · Nabil Touaizi ⇄ Diogo Spencer

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

Yellow card · Emanuel Moreira60'
63'Substitution · Ian Luccas ⇄ Vasco da Silva Moreira
Substitution · Tiago Ribeiro ⇄ Vitor Hugo Amorim de Assis63'
Substitution · Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro ⇄ Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos63'
69'Goal · Vivaldo Semedo (assist : Isaac James)
Substitution · Gonçalo Paciência ⇄ Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira71'
Substitution · Vinicius lopes ⇄ Welinton Torrão71'
74'Substitution · Vivaldo Semedo ⇄ Samy Jr Merheg Enciso
75'Substitution · Francisco Chissumba ⇄ Sergi Gómez
75'Substitution · André Vidigal ⇄ Marco Essimi
Substitution · José Tavares ⇄ Léo Jacó85'
Goal · Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos (assist : Welinton Torrão)87'
90+3'Yellow card · Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos
Yellow card · Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos90+3'

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Alverca or Santa Clara70%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The two teams had 4 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
One team ahead at half-time54%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Draw or Santa Clara ahead at half-time76%held
Under 2.5 goals60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlverca 10th, Santa Clara 4th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match69′ opening goal, Alverca (1-0)
During the match87′ equaliser, Santa Clara (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Alverca or Santa Clara” goes from 86.4% to 82.6% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes