Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Sp Lisbon

3–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–1

Alverca

What Janus-12 said

95%

Sp Lisbon or draw

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 22/08, 20:30announced on 15/08/2026, 7 days before kick-off

poster not sealed at kick-off: success rates are not shown

Primeira Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sp Lisbon to win83%held
- Sp Lisbon took the lead in the 2nd minute and never let it go.
- Sp Lisbon took control early: opening goal in the 2nd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSp Lisbon 3rd, Alverca 10th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Sp Lisbon (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match55′ Sp Lisbon go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Alverca

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,381 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sp Lisbon on the left, Alverca on the right.

First half

2'Goal · M. Araujo
Yellow card · Y. Bojang16'
22'Yellow card · G. Catamo
Yellow card · D. Gui39'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

55'Own goal · Matheus Mendes
Substitution · Rayan Lucas ⇄ A. Vidigal56'
Substitution · V. Semedo ⇄ S. J. Merheg56'
60'Goal · L. Suarez (assist : G. Catamo)
Substitution · Chissumba ⇄ M. Essimi66'
68'Substitution · G. Catamo ⇄ Luis Guilherme
68'Substitution · F. Goncalves ⇄ N. Irankunda
Yellow card · M. Essimi74'
Substitution · Ian Luccas ⇄ V. Moreira75'
Substitution · D. Gui ⇄ Z. Kassary75'
75'Substitution · Z. Debast ⇄ E. Quaresma
75'Substitution · L. Suarez ⇄ R. Nel
88'Substitution · R. Zalazar ⇄ Pedro Lima
Goal · Figueiredo (assist : V. Moreira)88'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sp Lisbon to win83%held
- Sp Lisbon took the lead in the 2nd minute and never let it go.
- Sp Lisbon took control early: opening goal in the 2nd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSp Lisbon 3rd, Alverca 10th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Sp Lisbon (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match55′ Sp Lisbon go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match88′ last goal, Alverca

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,381 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes