Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Thursday, 10 September 2026

Estrela

2–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Sp Braga

What Janus-12 said

82%

Draw or Sp Braga

81% success over 31 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 18 %

A prediction at 82 % fails 18 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Sp Braga

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
PMUC
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 10/09, 20:30.

Sealed on 10/09, 20:15announced on 28/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 26 matches in this league
85%✓
74% success over 31 matches in this league
76%✓
65% success over 31 matches in this league
60%✗
64% success over 11 matches in this league
54%✓
61% success over 31 matches in this league
59%✗

Primeira Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Sp Braga82%lost
Draw or Sp Braga ahead at half-time85%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 5′ Sp Braga, 45′ Estrela.
Over 1.5 goals76%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 5th minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
One team ahead at half-time60%lost
Over 2.5 goals54%held
Sp Braga to win59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEstrela 8th, Sp Braga 6th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Sp Braga (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Estrela (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match56′ turnaround, Estrela go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Sp Braga” goes from 80.6% to 78.1% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,383 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Estrela on the left, Sp Braga on the right.

First half

Goal · Gabriel Martínez Aguilera (assist : Pau Victor)5'
27'Yellow card · Stefan Lekovic
45'Goal · Ianis Stoica (assist : Eddy Doué)

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

56'Goal · Ianis Stoica (assist : Abraham Marcus)
Substitution · Fra Navarro ⇄ Tommy Marqués61'
Substitution · Gabriel Martínez Aguilera ⇄ Diogo Martins Travassos61'
Substitution · Mario Dorgeles ⇄ Gabriel Silva61'
75'Substitution · Santiago Serra ⇄ Joan Jordan
75'Substitution · Ianis Stoica ⇄ Beni Souza
Substitution · Pau Victor ⇄ Jonas Wind76'
Substitution · Demir Ege Tıknaz ⇄ Diego Henrique76'
Yellow card · João Moutinho77'
85'Yellow card · Luan Patrick
87'Substitution · Leandro Antonetti ⇄ René Mitongo
90'Substitution · Lovro Zvonarek ⇄ Kevin Hoog Jansson

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Sp Braga82%lost
Draw or Sp Braga ahead at half-time85%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 5′ Sp Braga, 45′ Estrela.
Over 1.5 goals76%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 5th minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
One team ahead at half-time60%lost
Over 2.5 goals54%held
Sp Braga to win59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEstrela 8th, Sp Braga 6th (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Sp Braga (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Estrela (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match56′ turnaround, Estrela go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Sp Braga” goes from 80.6% to 78.1% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,383 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes