Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primeira Liga · Portugal

full time

Monday, 17 August 2026

Casa Pia

0-7full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 0–5

Benfica

What Janus-12 said

89%

Draw or Benfica

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 17/08, 20:15announced on 15/08/2026, 2 days before kick-off

poster not sealed at kick-off: success rates are not shown

Primeira Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Porto	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+15	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	4	3	0	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	+2	7
14	Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	-7	2

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Benfica to win70%held
- Benfica took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Benfica took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCasa Pia 17th, Benfica 2nd (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Benfica (0-1)
During the match14′ Benfica go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
Line-up61′ the goal came off the bench: J. Duran (Benfica)
During the match90′ sending-off, Casa Pia (Kaly)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 591,589 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Casa Pia on the left, Benfica on the right.

First half

Goal · G. Prestianni3'
Goal · Rafa Silva (assist : V. Pavlidis)14'

Half-time0 - 2

Second half

Goal · V. Pavlidis47'
Goal · V. Pavlidis49'
Goal · V. Pavlidis (assist : L. Barreiro)54'
Own goal · L. Ofori58'
59'Substitution · K. Prieto ⇄ K. Osundina
59'Substitution · Gabi ⇄ A. Jatta
Substitution · T. Araujo ⇄ Manu59'
Substitution · V. Pavlidis ⇄ J. Duran59'
Substitution · Rafa Silva ⇄ A. Schjelderup60'
Goal · J. Duran (assist : A. Bah)61'
62'Yellow card · S. Perez
63'Substitution · S. Perez ⇄ S. Clua
Substitution · E. Barrenechea ⇄ R. Rios67'
76'Substitution · H. Araujo ⇄ P. Rosas
76'Substitution · Rochinha ⇄ Kaly
Substitution · G. Sudakov ⇄ D. Lukebakio78'
79'Yellow card · Kaly
90+2'Yellow card · Kaly
90+2'Red card · Kaly

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Benfica to win70%held
- Benfica took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Benfica took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCasa Pia 17th, Benfica 2nd (Primeira Liga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Benfica (0-1)
During the match14′ Benfica go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
Line-up61′ the goal came off the bench: J. Duran (Benfica)
During the match90′ sending-off, Casa Pia (Kaly)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 591,589 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primeira Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes