Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Hamburger SV

2–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

FC Köln

What Janus-12 said

87%

Under 6.5 yellow cards

100% success over 28 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 6.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:35.

Sealed on 19/09, 14:30announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 28 matches in this league
61%✓
75% success over 28 matches in this league
72%✓
61% success over 28 matches in this league
81%✓
42% success over 24 matches in this league
67%✗
41% success over 17 matches in this league
60%✓

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 6.5 yellow cards87%held
- 4 yellow cards for 26 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards61%held
Hamburger SV or FC Köln72%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards81%held
Draw or FC Köln ahead at half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 44′ Hamburger SV.
Over 3.5 yellow cards60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHamburger SV 16th, FC Köln 13th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Hamburger SV (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match49′ Hamburger SV go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, FC Köln

What it changes

In this league, “Under 6.5 yellow cards” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Hamburger SV on the left, FC Köln on the right.

First half

10'Yellow card · Albert Grönbaek
44'Goal · Nicolás Capaldo (assist : Albert Grönbaek)
45'Substitution · Terem Moffi ⇄ Yussuf Poulsen

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

49'Goal · Yussuf Poulsen (assist : Albert Grönbaek)
Yellow card · Gideon Mensah54'
Substitution · Gideon Mensah ⇄ Borna Sosa64'
Substitution · Thijs Dallinga ⇄ Ragnar Ache64'
67'Substitution · Albert Grönbaek ⇄ Patson Daka
Substitution · Alessio Castro-Montes ⇄ Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson67'
77'Substitution · David Moller Wolfe ⇄ Louis Pepe Lemke
77'Substitution · Zakaria El Ouahdi ⇄ Bakery Jatta
Yellow card · Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson77'
Substitution · Tom Krauß ⇄ Luca Waldschmidt81'
Substitution · Linton Maina ⇄ Marius Bülter81'
Yellow card · Ellyes Skhiri84'
90'Substitution · Albert Sambi Lokonga ⇄ Martin Adeline
Goal · Ragnar Ache (assist : Ellyes Skhiri)90'

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 6.5 yellow cards87%held
- 4 yellow cards for 26 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards61%held
Hamburger SV or FC Köln72%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards81%held
Draw or FC Köln ahead at half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 44′ Hamburger SV.
Over 3.5 yellow cards60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHamburger SV 16th, FC Köln 13th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Hamburger SV (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match49′ Hamburger SV go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, FC Köln

What it changes

In this league, “Under 6.5 yellow cards” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes