Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Eintracht Frankfurt

2–2full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–1

SC Freiburg

What Janus-12 said

66%

Under 4.5 yellow cards

86% success over 28 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 4.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:35.

Sealed on 19/09, 14:30announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 28 matches in this league
74%✗
61% success over 28 matches in this league
76%✓
42% success over 24 matches in this league
71%✗
41% success over 17 matches in this league
54%✓

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards66%held
- 4 yellow cards for 23 fouls given.
Eintracht Frankfurt or SC Freiburg74%lost
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Over 2.5 yellow cards76%held
Draw or SC Freiburg ahead at half-time71%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 10′ Eintracht Frankfurt, 34′ SC Freiburg, 36′ Eintracht Frankfurt.
Over 3.5 yellow cards54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEintracht Frankfurt 10th, SC Freiburg 3rd (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Eintracht Frankfurt (1-0)
During the match34′ equaliser, SC Freiburg (1-1)
During the match36′ Eintracht Frankfurt retake the lead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match48′ equaliser, SC Freiburg (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 85.7% to 86.2% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Eintracht Frankfurt on the left, SC Freiburg on the right.

First half

9'Yellow card · Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
10'Goal · Younes Ebnoutalib (assist : Ritsu Doan)
Goal · Derry Lionel Scherhant (assist : Jordy Makengo)34'
36'Goal · Jonathan Burkardt (assist : Robin Koch)
Yellow card · Mio Backhaus37'
45'Substitution · Noel Aseko ⇄ Oscar Winther Hojlund

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

Goal · Yuito Suzuki (assist : Derry Lionel Scherhant)48'
56'Yellow card · Oscar Winther Hojlund
61'Substitution · Elias Niklas Baum ⇄ Nnamdi Collins
61'Substitution · Ritsu Doan ⇄ Ansgar Knauff
Substitution · Jan-Niklas Beste ⇄ Lukas Kübler71'
Substitution · Derry Lionel Scherhant ⇄ Vincenzo Grifo71'
Substitution · Yuito Suzuki ⇄ Lucas Höler83'
Substitution · Igor Matanovic ⇄ Keisuke Goto84'
Yellow card · Lucas Höler88'
89'Substitution · Can Yilmaz Uzun ⇄ Mario Götze
89'Substitution · Jonathan Burkardt ⇄ Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards66%held
- 4 yellow cards for 23 fouls given.
Eintracht Frankfurt or SC Freiburg74%lost
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Over 2.5 yellow cards76%held
Draw or SC Freiburg ahead at half-time71%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 10′ Eintracht Frankfurt, 34′ SC Freiburg, 36′ Eintracht Frankfurt.
Over 3.5 yellow cards54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableEintracht Frankfurt 10th, SC Freiburg 3rd (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Eintracht Frankfurt (1-0)
During the match34′ equaliser, SC Freiburg (1-1)
During the match36′ Eintracht Frankfurt retake the lead (2-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match48′ equaliser, SC Freiburg (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 85.7% to 86.2% success rate, over 29 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes