Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

RB Leipzig

What Janus-12 said

68%

Under 4.5 yellow cards

82% success over 33 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 32 %

A prediction at 68 % fails 32 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 yellow cards

1xBet
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 17:04.

Sealed on 20/09, 14:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 33 matches in this league
75%✓
67% success over 33 matches in this league
76%✓
52% success over 21 matches in this league
52%✓
45% success over 29 matches in this league
58%✗

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards68%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 22 fouls given.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or RB Leipzig75%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards76%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards52%held
Draw or RB Leipzig ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 44′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBayer 04 Leverkusen 5th, RB Leipzig 9th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 81.8% to 79.4% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen on the left, RB Leipzig on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Antonio Nusa11'
Substitution · Brajan Gruda ⇄ Tidiam Gomis26'
VAR: Goal cancelled · Christopher Nkunku34'
44'Goal · Patrik Schick (assist : Miguel Gutiérrez)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

57'Goal · Miguel Gutiérrez
Substitution · Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz ⇄ Andrija Maksimović67'
Substitution · Ezechiel Banzuzi ⇄ Nicolas Seiwald67'
72'Substitution · Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo ⇄ Robert Andrich
Yellow card · Neil El Aynaoui74'
77'Substitution · Patrik Schick ⇄ Christian Kofane
82'Yellow card · Edmond Tapsoba
Substitution · Christopher Nkunku ⇄ Samba Konaté84'
Substitution · Ridle Baku ⇄ Benjamin Henrichs84'
89'Substitution · Moussa Diaby ⇄ Lucas Vázquez
Yellow card · Benjamin Henrichs90+1'
90+1'Yellow card · Afonso Moreira

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards68%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 22 fouls given.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or RB Leipzig75%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards76%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards52%held
Draw or RB Leipzig ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 44′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBayer 04 Leverkusen 5th, RB Leipzig 9th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match57′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 81.8% to 79.4% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes