Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Elversberg

1–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–1

FC Bayern München

What Janus-12 said

87%

Draw or FC Bayern München

72% success over 25 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or FC Bayern München

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 14:34.

Sealed on 13/09, 16:30announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

48% success over 25 matches in this league
72%✓
41% success over 22 matches in this league
83%✓

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or FC Bayern München87%held
- FC Bayern München took the lead in the 72nd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for FC Bayern München against 1.
FC Bayern München to win72%held
Draw or FC Bayern München ahead at half-time83%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 26′ FC Bayern München.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableElversberg 7th, FC Bayern München 2nd (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, FC Bayern München (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match61′ equaliser, Elversberg (1-1)
During the match72′ FC Bayern München retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or FC Bayern München” goes from 72% to 73.1% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Elversberg on the left, FC Bayern München on the right.

First half

7'Yellow card · Francis Onyeka
11'Substitution · Francis Onyeka ⇄ Noah Darvich
Goal · Lennart Karl (assist : Harry Kane)26'
45'Substitution · Cole Campbell ⇄ Maurice Krattenmacher

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

61'Goal · Maurice Krattenmacher (assist : Noah Darvich)
63'Yellow card · Felix Keidel
Substitution · Nathaniel Brown ⇄ Alphonso Davies65'
Substitution · Tom Bischof ⇄ Joshua Kimmich65'
Substitution · Ismael Saibari ⇄ Luis Díaz65'
Substitution · Lennart Karl ⇄ Jamal Musiala65'
Goal · Harry Kane (assist : Aleksandar Pavlović)72'
73'Substitution · Felix Keidel ⇄ Amara Condé
73'Substitution · David Mokwa ⇄ Noel Futkeu
83'Substitution · Lukas Petkov ⇄ Luca Schnellbacher

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or FC Bayern München87%held
- FC Bayern München took the lead in the 72nd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for FC Bayern München against 1.
FC Bayern München to win72%held
Draw or FC Bayern München ahead at half-time83%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 26′ FC Bayern München.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableElversberg 7th, FC Bayern München 2nd (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, FC Bayern München (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match61′ equaliser, Elversberg (1-1)
During the match72′ FC Bayern München retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or FC Bayern München” goes from 72% to 73.1% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes