Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

FC Köln

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Werder Bremen

What Janus-12 said

73%

FC Köln or Werder Bremen

75% success over 24 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: FC Köln or Werder Bremen

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 03:12.

Sealed on 12/09, 17:30announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

43% success over 21 matches in this league
68%✗

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Köln or Werder Bremen73%lost
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Draw or Werder Bremen ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 11′ FC Köln.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Köln 13th, Werder Bremen 8th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, FC Köln (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match69′ equaliser, Werder Bremen (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “FC Köln or Werder Bremen” goes from 75% to 72% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Köln on the left, Werder Bremen on the right.

First half

8'Missed penalty · Thijs Dallinga
11'Goal · Linton Maina (assist : Ellyes Skhiri)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

64'Substitution · Thijs Dallinga ⇄ Ragnar Ache
65'Substitution · Linton Maina ⇄ Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
65'Substitution · Alessio Castro-Montes ⇄ Sebastian Soraas Sebulonsen
Goal · Niclas Füllkrug69'
Substitution · Ludovit Reis ⇄ Dariusz Stalmach70'
Yellow card · Olivier Deman72'
74'Substitution · Mikey Moore ⇄ Said El Mala
Substitution · Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares ⇄ Mick Schmetgens81'
Substitution · Niclas Füllkrug ⇄ Cédric Itten81'
Substitution · Youri Regeer ⇄ Mitchell Weiser83'
Substitution · Eren Dinkci ⇄ Paul Erevbenagie83'
86'Yellow card · Gideon Mensah
90'Substitution · Tom Krauß ⇄ Paul Okon-Engstler
90+2'Yellow card · Paul Okon-Engstler

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Köln or Werder Bremen73%lost
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Draw or Werder Bremen ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 11′ FC Köln.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Köln 13th, Werder Bremen 8th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, FC Köln (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match69′ equaliser, Werder Bremen (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “FC Köln or Werder Bremen” goes from 75% to 72% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes