Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

FC Union Berlin

1–3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–2

Schalke 04

What Janus-12 said

75%

FC Union Berlin or draw

83% success over 18 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: FC Union Berlin or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 18:31.

Sealed on 11/09, 19:30announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

38% success over 16 matches in this league
59%✓

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Union Berlin or draw75%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Schalke 04 scored in the 90th minute.
- FC Union Berlin chased the score almost all match: Schalke 04 scored as early as the 25th minute.
Draw or Schalke 04 ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 25′ Schalke 04.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Union Berlin 17th, Schalke 04 11th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Schalke 04 (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match46′ Schalke 04 go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ last goal, Schalke 04

What it changes

In this league, “FC Union Berlin or draw” goes from 83.3% to 78.9% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Union Berlin on the left, Schalke 04 on the right.

First half

Substitution · Dejan Ljubičić ⇄ Junior Dina Ebimbe21'
Goal · Robin Gosens25'
45'Yellow card · Aljoscha Kemlein
45'Substitution · Aljoscha Kemlein ⇄ András Schäfer
45'Substitution · Livan Burcu ⇄ Marin Ljubičić

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Goal · Adil Aouchiche (assist : Junior Chukwubuike Adamu)46'
VAR: Goal confirmed · Adil Aouchiche46'
74'Yellow card · Marin Ljubičić
76'Substitution · Emmanuel Latte Lath ⇄ Tim Skarke
78'Yellow card · Felix Uduokhai
Substitution · Robin Gosens ⇄ Maximilian Wöber80'
Substitution · Kenan Karaman ⇄ Edin Džeko80'
Substitution · Junior Chukwubuike Adamu ⇄ Hwang Hee-Chan80'
85'Substitution · Michel Aebischer ⇄ Janik Haberer
90+1'Substitution · Woo-Yeong Jeong ⇄ Robert Skov
Substitution · Adil Aouchiche ⇄ Janik Bachmann90+4'
90+6'Goal · Tim Skarke (assist : Tom Rothe)
Yellow card · Loris Karius90+9'
Goal · Maximilian Wöber (assist : Hwang Hee-Chan)90+13'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Union Berlin or draw75%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Schalke 04 scored in the 90th minute.
- FC Union Berlin chased the score almost all match: Schalke 04 scored as early as the 25th minute.
Draw or Schalke 04 ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 25′ Schalke 04.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Union Berlin 17th, Schalke 04 11th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Schalke 04 (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match46′ Schalke 04 go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ last goal, Schalke 04

What it changes

In this league, “FC Union Berlin or draw” goes from 83.3% to 78.9% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes