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Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

FSV Mainz 05

1–3full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 1–1

Eintracht Frankfurt

What Janus-12 said

75%

FSV Mainz 05 or draw

79% success over 19 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: FSV Mainz 05 or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 16:37.

Sealed on 12/09, 14:30announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

41% success over 17 matches in this league
58%✓

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FSV Mainz 05 or draw75%lost
- FSV Mainz 05 chased the score almost all match: Eintracht Frankfurt scored as early as the 9th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: FSV Mainz 05 had 18 shots against 11, for 1 goal against 3.
Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 9′ Eintracht Frankfurt, 45′ Eintracht Frankfurt.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFSV Mainz 05 6th, Eintracht Frankfurt 10th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Eintracht Frankfurt (0-1)
During the match45′ Eintracht Frankfurt go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match89′ last goal, FSV Mainz 05

What it changes

In this league, “FSV Mainz 05 or draw” goes from 78.9% to 75% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FSV Mainz 05 on the left, Eintracht Frankfurt on the right.

First half

Goal · Can Yilmaz Uzun (assist : Jonathan Burkardt)9'
Yellow card · Raphael Onyedika Nwadike41'
43'Missed penalty · Nadiem Amiri
45'Substitution · Lee Jae-Sung ⇄ Ransford Konigsdorffer
Goal · Jonathan Burkardt (assist : Jeremiaha Maluze)45+1'

Half-time0 – 2

Second half

Substitution · Noel Aseko ⇄ Mario Götze59'
Goal · Can Yilmaz Uzun (assist : Mario Götze)60'
62'Substitution · Anthony Caci ⇄ Danny da Costa
Yellow card · Mario Götze70'
Substitution · Jonathan Burkardt ⇄ Younes Ebnoutalib74'
74'Substitution · Phillipp Mwene ⇄ Rael Nakuzola
74'Substitution · Sheraldo Becker ⇄ Benedict Hollerbach
85'Substitution · Nadiem Amiri ⇄ Otto Ruoppi
Substitution · Can Yilmaz Uzun ⇄ Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab87'
Substitution · Elias Niklas Baum ⇄ Timothy Chandler87'
89'Goal · Phillip Tietz (assist : Otto Ruoppi)

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FSV Mainz 05 or draw75%lost
- FSV Mainz 05 chased the score almost all match: Eintracht Frankfurt scored as early as the 9th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: FSV Mainz 05 had 18 shots against 11, for 1 goal against 3.
Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 9′ Eintracht Frankfurt, 45′ Eintracht Frankfurt.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFSV Mainz 05 6th, Eintracht Frankfurt 10th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Eintracht Frankfurt (0-1)
During the match45′ Eintracht Frankfurt go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match89′ last goal, FSV Mainz 05

What it changes

In this league, “FSV Mainz 05 or draw” goes from 78.9% to 75% success rate, over 20 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes