Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Werder Bremen

3–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–1

RB Leipzig

What Janus-12 said

78%

Draw or RB Leipzig

80% success over 10 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 22 %

A prediction at 78 % fails 22 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or RB Leipzig

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 14:05.

Sealed on 05/09, 14:31announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

60% success over 10 matches in this league
53%✗
38% success over 8 matches in this league
81%✗

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or RB Leipzig78%lost
- RB Leipzig chased the score almost all match: Werder Bremen scored as early as the 4th minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Werder Bremen scored in the 80th minute.
RB Leipzig to win53%lost
Draw or RB Leipzig ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 4′ Werder Bremen.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWerder Bremen 8th, RB Leipzig 9th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Werder Bremen (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match68′ Werder Bremen go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, RB Leipzig

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or RB Leipzig” goes from 80% to 72.7% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Werder Bremen on the left, RB Leipzig on the right.

First half

4'Goal · Eren Dinkci (assist : Iván San José Cantalejo)
23'Yellow card · Iván San José Cantalejo
VAR: Penalty cancelled · Christopher Nkunku24'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Johan Bakayoko ⇄ Tidiam Gomis63'
67'Substitution · Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares ⇄ Mick Schmetgens
67'Substitution · Eren Dinkci ⇄ Paul Erevbenagie
68'Goal · Niclas Füllkrug (assist : Marco Grüll)
74'Substitution · Niclas Füllkrug ⇄ Cédric Itten
Substitution · Neil El Aynaoui ⇄ Marc Guiu75'
80'Goal · Marco Grüll
83'Substitution · Youri Regeer ⇄ Dariusz Stalmach
83'Substitution · Iván San José Cantalejo ⇄ Salim Amani Musah
Substitution · Christopher Nkunku ⇄ Andrija Maksimović84'
Substitution · Antonio Nusa ⇄ Samba Konaté84'
Goal · Ridle Baku (assist : Andrija Maksimović)90+5'

What we announced

0/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or RB Leipzig78%lost
- RB Leipzig chased the score almost all match: Werder Bremen scored as early as the 4th minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Werder Bremen scored in the 80th minute.
RB Leipzig to win53%lost
Draw or RB Leipzig ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 4′ Werder Bremen.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableWerder Bremen 8th, RB Leipzig 9th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Werder Bremen (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match68′ Werder Bremen go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, RB Leipzig

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or RB Leipzig” goes from 80% to 72.7% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes