Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

4–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 2–0

FC Union Berlin

What Janus-12 said

83%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw

80% success over 10 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 14:05.

Sealed on 05/09, 14:31announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

60% success over 10 matches in this league
61%✓
38% success over 8 matches in this league
52%✗

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw83%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for Bayer 04 Leverkusen against 0.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen took control early: opening goal in the 1st minute.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win61%held
Draw or FC Union Berlin ahead at half-time52%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 1′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 28′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBayer 04 Leverkusen 5th, FC Union Berlin 17th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1-0)
During the match28′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw” goes from 80% to 81.8% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen on the left, FC Union Berlin on the right.

First half

1'Goal · Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo (assist : Miguel Gutiérrez)
Yellow card · Felix Uduokhai4'
28'Goal · Facundo Medina (assist : Miguel Gutiérrez)

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Zeno Van Den Bosch47'
48'Goal · Patrik Schick (assist : Jarell Quansah)
61'Yellow card · Miguel Gutiérrez
Substitution · Emmanuel Latte Lath ⇄ Tim Skarke63'
Substitution · Michel Aebischer ⇄ Woo-Yeong Jeong63'
Substitution · Aljoscha Kemlein ⇄ Janik Haberer63'
66'Goal · Ibrahim Maza (assist : Patrik Schick)
67'Substitution · Patrik Schick ⇄ Christian Kofane
67'Substitution · Malik Tillman ⇄ Moussa Diaby
71'Substitution · Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo ⇄ Robert Andrich
71'Substitution · Facundo Medina ⇄ Loic Bade
Substitution · Josip Juranović ⇄ Christopher Trimmel74'
Substitution · Livan Burcu ⇄ András Schäfer79'
83'Substitution · Miguel Gutiérrez ⇄ Lucas Vázquez
88'Yellow card · Ibrahim Maza

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw83%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for Bayer 04 Leverkusen against 0.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen took control early: opening goal in the 1st minute.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win61%held
Draw or FC Union Berlin ahead at half-time52%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 1′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 28′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBayer 04 Leverkusen 5th, FC Union Berlin 17th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1-0)
During the match28′ Bayer 04 Leverkusen go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw” goes from 80% to 81.8% success rate, over 11 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes