Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Friday, 4 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart

4-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 3–1

FC Köln

What Janus-12 said

85%

VfB Stuttgart or draw

78% success over 9 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: VfB Stuttgart or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/09, 21:31.

Sealed on 04/09, 19:30announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

56% success over 9 matches in this league
65%✓
43% success over 7 matches in this league
51%✗

Bundesliga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

VfB Stuttgart or draw85%held
- VfB Stuttgart took the lead in the 39th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for VfB Stuttgart against 5.
VfB Stuttgart to win65%held
Draw or FC Köln ahead at half-time51%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 39′ VfB Stuttgart.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVfB Stuttgart 15th, FC Köln 13th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, VfB Stuttgart (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match60′ VfB Stuttgart go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, VfB Stuttgart

What it changes

In this league, “VfB Stuttgart or draw” goes from 77.8% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

VfB Stuttgart on the left, FC Köln on the right.

First half

39'Goal · Bilal El Khannouss (assist : Josha Vagnoman)
Yellow card · Jahmai Simpson-Pusey41'
Substitution · Paul Okon-Engstler ⇄ Ellyes Skhiri45'
Substitution · Jan Thielmann ⇄ Mikey Moore45'

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

51'Yellow card · Maximilian Mittelstädt
60'Goal · Grischa Prömel (assist : Maximilian Mittelstädt)
70'Substitution · Chris Führich ⇄ Jamie Leweling
70'Substitution · Deniz Undav ⇄ Ermedin Demirović
Substitution · Ragnar Ache ⇄ Marius Bülter75'
Substitution · Linton Maina ⇄ Reigan Heskey75'
75'Goal · Ermedin Demirović (assist : Finn Jeltsch)
78'Substitution · Bilal El Khannouss ⇄ Leo Sauer
78'Substitution · Maximilian Mittelstädt ⇄ Ramon Hendriks
Goal · Marius Bülter81'
Yellow card · Tom Krauß85'
Yellow card · Alessio Castro-Montes86'
Substitution · Tom Krauß ⇄ Imad Rondić90'
90'Goal · Josha Vagnoman
90+2'Substitution · Angelo Stiller ⇄ Yanik Spalt

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

VfB Stuttgart or draw85%held
- VfB Stuttgart took the lead in the 39th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 8 shots on target for VfB Stuttgart against 5.
VfB Stuttgart to win65%held
Draw or FC Köln ahead at half-time51%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 39′ VfB Stuttgart.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVfB Stuttgart 15th, FC Köln 13th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, VfB Stuttgart (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match60′ VfB Stuttgart go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, VfB Stuttgart

What it changes

In this league, “VfB Stuttgart or draw” goes from 77.8% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes