Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

FC Union Berlin

3-3full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 2–1

Eintracht Frankfurt

What Janus-12 said

73%

FC Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt

100% success over 1 match in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A forecast at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

Where this market is covered· 7 bookmakers

Market covered: FC Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt

1xBet
BetPawa
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We show the implied probability, not the operator's price. Availability checked on 29/08, 04:47.

Sealed on 29/08, 14:30announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other forecasts, most reliable first

69% success over 1319 matches, all leagues
66%✓

Bundesliga

as of 08/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

1/2

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt73%lost
- The two teams managed only 13 shots on target in total, for 6 goals.
Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 3′ FC Union Berlin, 10′ Eintracht Frankfurt, 11′ Eintracht Frankfurt.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Union Berlin 17th, Eintracht Frankfurt 10th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, FC Union Berlin (1-0)
During the match10′ equaliser, Eintracht Frankfurt (1-1)
During the match11′ turnaround, Eintracht Frankfurt go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match67′ turnaround, Eintracht Frankfurt go ahead (1-3)
During the match90′ FC Union Berlin come back from 2 goals down (3-3)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: T. Skarke (FC Union Berlin)

What it changes

In this league, “FC Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt” goes from 100% to 50% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Union Berlin on the left, Eintracht Frankfurt on the right.

First half

3'Goal · E. Latte Lath (assist : J. Juranovic)
Goal · Y. Ebnoutalib10'
Goal · Y. Ebnoutalib11'
Yellow card · Y. Ebnoutalib11'
Yellow card · J. Maluze13'
23'Yellow card · M. Aebischer

Half-time1 - 2

Second half

61'Substitution · M. Aebischer ⇄ L. Burcu
61'Substitution · A. Schafer ⇄ Jeong Woo-Yeong
61'Substitution · E. Latte Lath ⇄ T. Skarke
Substitution · J. Burkardt ⇄ M. Pimpong66'
Goal · Y. Ebnoutalib (assist : E. Baum)67'
76'Substitution · A. Kemlein ⇄ J. Haberer
79'Goal · L. Querfeld (assist : J. Juranovic)
Substitution · C. Uzun ⇄ L. Arrhov79'
Substitution · A. Amaimouni ⇄ O. Hojlund79'
81'Yellow card · Z. Van Den Bosch
82'Substitution · M. Ljubicic ⇄ D. Kohn
Yellow card · R. Onyedika84'
Substitution · Y. Ebnoutalib ⇄ Otavio85'
Yellow card · Otavio90'
90+2'Goal · T. Skarke (assist : L. Querfeld)

What we announced

1/2

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt73%lost
- The two teams managed only 13 shots on target in total, for 6 goals.
Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 3′ FC Union Berlin, 10′ Eintracht Frankfurt, 11′ Eintracht Frankfurt.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Union Berlin 17th, Eintracht Frankfurt 10th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, FC Union Berlin (1-0)
During the match10′ equaliser, Eintracht Frankfurt (1-1)
During the match11′ turnaround, Eintracht Frankfurt go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match67′ turnaround, Eintracht Frankfurt go ahead (1-3)
During the match90′ FC Union Berlin come back from 2 goals down (3-3)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: T. Skarke (FC Union Berlin)

What it changes

In this league, “FC Union Berlin or Eintracht Frankfurt” goes from 100% to 50% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes