Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

SC Freiburg

4-1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 2–1

Werder Bremen

What Janus-12 said

76%

SC Freiburg or draw

71% success over 7 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: SC Freiburg or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 15:11.

Sealed on 30/08, 14:30announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

60% success over 5 matches in this league
58%✗
43% success over 7 matches in this league
52%✓

Bundesliga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

SC Freiburg or draw76%held
- SC Freiburg took the lead in the 29th minute and never let it go.
- SC Freiburg took control early: opening goal in the 29th minute.
Draw or Werder Bremen ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 29′ SC Freiburg, 45′ SC Freiburg.
SC Freiburg to win52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSC Freiburg 3rd, Werder Bremen 8th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, SC Freiburg (1-0)
During the match45′ SC Freiburg go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match76′ last goal, Werder Bremen

What it changes

In this league, “SC Freiburg or draw” goes from 71.4% to 75% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

SC Freiburg on the left, Werder Bremen on the right.

First half

29'Goal · Y. Suzuki (assist : J. Beste)
45'Goal · I. Matanovic (assist : M. Ginter)

Half-time2 - 0

Second half

46'Substitution · J. Beste ⇄ C. Irie
Substitution · S. Lynen ⇄ D. Stalmach46'
48'Goal · Y. Suzuki
Yellow card · L. Reis48'
55'Goal · Y. Suzuki (assist : I. Matanovic)
Substitution · J. Njinmah ⇄ S. Musah61'
Substitution · N. Fullkrug ⇄ C. Itten61'
69'Substitution · P. Lienhart ⇄ M. Rosenfelder
69'Substitution · L. Kubler ⇄ P. Treu
73'Substitution · I. Matanovic ⇄ L. Holer
Goal · D. Stalmach (assist : M. Grull)76'
79'Substitution · Y. Suzuki ⇄ K. Goto
Substitution · L. Reis ⇄ E. Dinkci84'
Substitution · M. Grull ⇄ P. Covic84'
88'Yellow card · K. Goto

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

SC Freiburg or draw76%held
- SC Freiburg took the lead in the 29th minute and never let it go.
- SC Freiburg took control early: opening goal in the 29th minute.
Draw or Werder Bremen ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 29′ SC Freiburg, 45′ SC Freiburg.
SC Freiburg to win52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSC Freiburg 3rd, Werder Bremen 8th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, SC Freiburg (1-0)
During the match45′ SC Freiburg go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match76′ last goal, Werder Bremen

What it changes

In this league, “SC Freiburg or draw” goes from 71.4% to 75% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes