Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

FC Augsburg

3-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

Schalke 04

What Janus-12 said

79%

FC Augsburg or draw

71% success over 7 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: FC Augsburg or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 20:36.

Sealed on 30/08, 16:30announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

60% success over 5 matches in this league
56%✗
43% success over 7 matches in this league
52%✓

Bundesliga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Augsburg or draw79%held
- Schalke 04 played 28 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 62nd minute.
- FC Augsburg took the lead in the 18th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Schalke 04 ahead at half-time56%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 18′ FC Augsburg.
FC Augsburg to win52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Augsburg 4th, Schalke 04 11th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, FC Augsburg (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match62′ sending-off, Schalke 04 (R. Schallenberg)
During the match79′ FC Augsburg go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, FC Augsburg

What it changes

In this league, “FC Augsburg or draw” goes from 71.4% to 75% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Augsburg on the left, Schalke 04 on the right.

First half

18'Goal · M. Gregoritsch (assist : A. Kade)
22'Yellow card · F. Rieder

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Substitution · H. Kurucay ⇄ M. Wober62'
Substitution · J. Adamu ⇄ J. Dina Ebimbe62'
Substitution · V. Becker ⇄ R. Gosens62'
Red card · R. Schallenberg62'
76'Substitution · R. Fellhauer ⇄ M. Komur
Substitution · N. Katic ⇄ E. Dzeko76'
79'Goal · A. Kade (assist : F. Rieder)
83'Substitution · F. Rieder ⇄ Y. Keitel
83'Substitution · M. Gregoritsch ⇄ R. Ribeiro
Substitution · A. Aouchiche ⇄ M. Ayhan86'
90'Substitution · C. Brackelmann ⇄ J. Gouweleeuw
90+1'Substitution · M. Wolf ⇄ Seol Young-Woo
90+2'Goal · R. Ribeiro (assist : Seol Young-Woo)

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Augsburg or draw79%held
- Schalke 04 played 28 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 62nd minute.
- FC Augsburg took the lead in the 18th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Schalke 04 ahead at half-time56%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 18′ FC Augsburg.
FC Augsburg to win52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Augsburg 4th, Schalke 04 11th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, FC Augsburg (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match62′ sending-off, Schalke 04 (R. Schallenberg)
During the match79′ FC Augsburg go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, FC Augsburg

What it changes

In this league, “FC Augsburg or draw” goes from 71.4% to 75% success rate, over 8 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes