Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga · Germany

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

FC Bayern München

5-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 4–1

VfB Stuttgart

What Janus-12 said

88%

FC Bayern München or draw

79% success over 1584 matches, all leagues

✓ It happened

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 00:31.

Sealed on 28/08, 19:30announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

68% success over 1280 matches, all leagues
59%✓
52% success over 1587 matches, all leagues
73%✓

Bundesliga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	FC Köln	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	-11	3
17	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	-10	0

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Bayern München or draw88%held
- FC Bayern München took the lead in the 55th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for FC Bayern München against 4.
FC Bayern München ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 21′ FC Bayern München.
FC Bayern München to win73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Bayern München 2nd, VfB Stuttgart 15th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, FC Bayern München (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match52′ equaliser, VfB Stuttgart (1-1)
During the match55′ FC Bayern München retake the lead (2-1)
During the match57′ FC Bayern München go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ last goal, FC Bayern München

What it changes

In this league, “FC Bayern München or draw” goes from 79.4% to 79.4% success rate, over 1585 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Bayern München on the left, VfB Stuttgart on the right.

First half

21'Goal · D. Upamecano (assist : J. Kimmich)

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Goal · J. Vagnoman52'
55'Goal · M. Olise (assist : J. Kimmich)
57'Own goal · J. Vagnoman
61'Substitution · N. Brown ⇄ I. Saibari
Yellow card · J. Chabot62'
Substitution · T. Tomas ⇄ J. Leweling62'
Substitution · D. Pejcinovic ⇄ E. Demirovic63'
63'VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside · M. Olise
Yellow card · F. Jeltsch68'
74'Substitution · A. Davies ⇄ J. Stanisic
Substitution · D. Undav ⇄ L. Stergiou74'
Substitution · J. Chabot ⇄ B. El Khannouss74'
81'Yellow card · Kim Min-Jae
82'Goal · A. Pavlovic (assist : I. Saibari)
84'Substitution · H. Kane ⇄ L. Karl
84'Substitution · Kim Min-Jae ⇄ J. Tah
84'Substitution · A. Pavlovic ⇄ T. Bischof
Substitution · A. Stiller ⇄ C. Andres88'
90+2'Goal · L. Diaz (assist : I. Saibari)
Yellow card · G. Promel90+3'

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FC Bayern München or draw88%held
- FC Bayern München took the lead in the 55th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for FC Bayern München against 4.
FC Bayern München ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 21′ FC Bayern München.
FC Bayern München to win73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Bayern München 2nd, VfB Stuttgart 15th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, FC Bayern München (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match52′ equaliser, VfB Stuttgart (1-1)
During the match55′ FC Bayern München retake the lead (2-1)
During the match57′ FC Bayern München go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ last goal, FC Bayern München

What it changes

In this league, “FC Bayern München or draw” goes from 79.4% to 79.4% success rate, over 1585 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes