Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División Femenina · Spain

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 3 October at 17:00. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 16:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Madrid CFF W

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

Athletic Club W

What Janus-12 said

74%

Madrid CFF W or Athletic Club W

79% success over 42 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Madrid CFF W or Athletic Club W

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 17:00announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 32 matches in this league
72%✗
76% success over 42 matches in this league
86%✓
68% success over 37 matches in this league
68%✗
64% success over 39 matches in this league
64%✓
62% success over 42 matches in this league
77%✓
44% success over 27 matches in this league
53%✓

Primera División Femenina

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona W	6	6	0	0	+26	18
2	Madrid CFF W	6	4	1	1	+2	13
3	Real Madrid W	6	4	1	1	0	13
4	Eibar W	6	3	2	1	0	11
5	Athletic Club W	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Atletico Madrid W	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Espanyol W	6	2	2	2	+3	8
8	FC Levante Badalona W	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Granad. Tenerife W	6	2	2	2	-5	8
10	Sevilla W	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Granada	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Edf Logrono W	6	2	0	4	-2	6
13	Deportivo Alavés W	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Deportivo de La Coruña W	6	1	2	3	-1	5
15	Real Sociedad W	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Valencia W	6	0	0	6	-9	0

What we announced

4/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Madrid CFF W or Athletic Club W74%lost
Draw or Athletic Club W ahead at half-time72%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 43′ Madrid CFF W.
Under 4.5 goals86%held
Under 3.5 goals68%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time64%held
Over 1.5 goals77%held
Over 2.5 goals53%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMadrid CFF W 2nd, Athletic Club W 5th (Primera División Femenina)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Madrid CFF W (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ equaliser, Athletic Club W (1-1)
During the match62′ turnaround, Athletic Club W go ahead (1-2)
During the match73′ equaliser, Madrid CFF W (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Madrid CFF W or Athletic Club W” goes from 78.6% to 76.7% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Madrid CFF W on the left, Athletic Club W on the right.

First half

Yellow card · J. Amezaga32'
34'Yellow card · E. Holt
43'Goal · E. Nautnes (assist : M. Rivas)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · E. Holt ⇄ A. Ruiz
46'Yellow card · A. Gonzalez Rosa
Goal · Bibi47'
Substitution · J. Amezaga ⇄ D. Agote56'
Goal · Bibi62'
Yellow card · M. Valero67'
Substitution · I. Oguiza ⇄ E. Gurtubay71'
Substitution · A. Azkona ⇄ P. Zugasti71'
71'Substitution · M. Rivas ⇄ H. Ubamba
73'Goal · S. Ouzraoui (assist : H. Ubamba)
Yellow card · A. Elexpuru83'
86'Substitution · S. Ouzraoui ⇄ M. Aymerich
87'Yellow card · S. Villafane
90'Substitution · E. Nautnes ⇄ P. Leon
Substitution · A. Elexpuru ⇄ A. Campos90+2'
Substitution · N. Landaluze ⇄ M. Vilarino90+2'

What we announced

4/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Madrid CFF W or Athletic Club W74%lost
Draw or Athletic Club W ahead at half-time72%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 43′ Madrid CFF W.
Under 4.5 goals86%held
Under 3.5 goals68%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time64%held
Over 1.5 goals77%held
Over 2.5 goals53%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMadrid CFF W 2nd, Athletic Club W 5th (Primera División Femenina)

During the match

During the match43′ opening goal, Madrid CFF W (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ equaliser, Athletic Club W (1-1)
During the match62′ turnaround, Athletic Club W go ahead (1-2)
During the match73′ equaliser, Madrid CFF W (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Madrid CFF W or Athletic Club W” goes from 78.6% to 76.7% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera División Femenina

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes