Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División Femenina · Spain

full time

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Saturday 26 September at 11:00. Originally planned for Sunday 27 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 11/09.

Real Sociedad W

3-5full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–4

Real Madrid W

What Janus-12 said

90%

Draw or Real Madrid W

81% success over 32 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Real Madrid W

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 04:42.

Sealed on 26/09, 11:00announced on 12/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 32 matches in this league
82%✗
77% success over 22 matches in this league
88%✓
67% success over 27 matches in this league
61%✗
63% success over 32 matches in this league
79%✓
59% success over 29 matches in this league
62%✗
50% success over 32 matches in this league
73%✓
48% success over 23 matches in this league
61%✓

Primera Division Women

as of 04/09, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona W	30	28	0	2	+112	84
2	Real Madrid W	30	24	4	2	+59	76
3	Atletico Madrid W	30	16	10	4	+26	58
4	Athletic Club W	30	16	3	11	+8	51
5	Granada	30	14	3	13	-3	45
6	Granad. Tenerife W	30	11	9	10	+4	42
7	Real Sociedad W	30	12	5	13	-5	41
8	Eibar W	30	10	8	12	-17	38
9	Sevilla W	30	10	6	14	-15	36
10	Madrid CFF W	30	9	6	15	-25	33
11	Espanyol W	30	7	11	12	-21	32
12	Levante W	30	8	7	15	-15	31
13	FC Levante Badalona W	30	6	10	14	-21	28
14	Deportivo de La Coruña W	30	6	9	15	-21	27
15	Real Betis W	30	6	5	19	-43	23
16	Valencia W	30	5	8	17	-23	23

What we announced

5/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Real Madrid W90%held
- Real Madrid W took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Under 4.5 goals82%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 8 in total.
Draw or Real Madrid W ahead at half-time88%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 3′ Real Madrid W, 5′ Real Sociedad W.
Under 3.5 goals61%lost
Over 1.5 goals79%held
At most 1 goal before half-time62%lost
Real Madrid W to win73%held
Over 2.5 goals61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Sociedad W 7th, Real Madrid W 2nd (Primera Division Women)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Real Madrid W (0-1)
During the match5′ equaliser, Real Sociedad W (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match50′ turnaround, Real Sociedad W go ahead (2-1)
During the match67′ equaliser, Real Madrid W (2-2)
During the match70′ turnaround, Real Madrid W go ahead (2-3)
During the match85′ equaliser, Real Sociedad W (3-3)
During the match87′ turnaround, Real Madrid W go ahead (3-4)
During the match90′ turnaround, Real Madrid W go ahead (3-5)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Real Madrid W” goes from 81.3% to 81.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Real Sociedad W on the left, Real Madrid W on the right.

First half

Goal · L. Beerensteyn (assist : O. San Martin)3'
5'Goal · C. Marcos (assist : N. Eizaguirre)
Yellow card · E. Navarro28'
Substitution · J. Levels ⇄ M. Lakrar35'
39'Yellow card · E. Laborde

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

Substitution · L. Keukelaar ⇄ L. Caicedo46'
50'Goal · C. Marcos (assist : E. Laborde)
60'Substitution · E. Laborde ⇄ A. Marin Martin
Substitution · L. Beerensteyn ⇄ F. Schroder60'
Substitution · O. San Martin ⇄ S. Dabritz61'
Substitution · M. Mendez ⇄ E. Senss61'
Yellow card · L. Caicedo63'
66'Yellow card · Camino
Goal · S. Dabritz67'
Goal · S. Dabritz (assist : F. Schroder)70'
74'Substitution · N. Eizaguirre ⇄ I. Eguiguren
74'Substitution · A. Campo ⇄ A. Seelenfreund
Yellow card · B. Andersson79'
Yellow card · P. Quesada80'
85'Penalty goal · P. Fernandez
Goal · F. Schroder (assist : E. Navarro)87'
90'Yellow card · P. Fernandez
90'Substitution · A. Vicente ⇄ A. Isasisasmendi
90'Substitution · K. Cahynova ⇄ Maren
Goal · F. Schroder (assist : S. Dabritz)90+6'

What we announced

5/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Real Madrid W90%held
- Real Madrid W took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Under 4.5 goals82%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 8 in total.
Draw or Real Madrid W ahead at half-time88%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 3′ Real Madrid W, 5′ Real Sociedad W.
Under 3.5 goals61%lost
Over 1.5 goals79%held
At most 1 goal before half-time62%lost
Real Madrid W to win73%held
Over 2.5 goals61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Sociedad W 7th, Real Madrid W 2nd (Primera Division Women)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Real Madrid W (0-1)
During the match5′ equaliser, Real Sociedad W (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match50′ turnaround, Real Sociedad W go ahead (2-1)
During the match67′ equaliser, Real Madrid W (2-2)
During the match70′ turnaround, Real Madrid W go ahead (2-3)
During the match85′ equaliser, Real Sociedad W (3-3)
During the match87′ turnaround, Real Madrid W go ahead (3-4)
During the match90′ turnaround, Real Madrid W go ahead (3-5)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Real Madrid W” goes from 81.3% to 81.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division Women

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes