Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División Femenina · Spain

full time

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 26 September at 17:30. Originally planned for Sunday 27 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 11/09.

Madrid CFF W

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Deportivo Alavés W

What Janus-12 said

77%

Madrid CFF W or draw

82% success over 34 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 26/09, 17:30announced on 12/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 24 matches in this league
63%✓
76% success over 34 matches in this league
88%✓
66% success over 29 matches in this league
71%✓
62% success over 34 matches in this league
78%✗
58% success over 31 matches in this league
70%✓
50% success over 34 matches in this league
52%✓
50% success over 24 matches in this league
53%✗

Primera División Femenina

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona W	6	6	0	0	+26	18
2	Madrid CFF W	6	4	1	1	+2	13
3	Real Madrid W	6	4	1	1	0	13
4	Eibar W	6	3	2	1	0	11
5	Athletic Club W	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Atletico Madrid W	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Espanyol W	6	2	2	2	+3	8
8	FC Levante Badalona W	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Granad. Tenerife W	6	2	2	2	-5	8
10	Sevilla W	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Granada	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Edf Logrono W	6	2	0	4	-2	6
13	Deportivo Alavés W	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Deportivo de La Coruña W	6	1	2	3	-1	5
15	Real Sociedad W	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Valencia W	6	0	0	6	-9	0

What we announced

6/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Madrid CFF W or draw77%held
- Madrid CFF W took the lead in the 50th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Deportivo Alavés W ahead at half-time63%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 4.5 goals88%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 3.5 goals71%held
Over 1.5 goals78%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time70%held
Madrid CFF W to win52%held
Over 2.5 goals53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMadrid CFF W 2nd, Deportivo Alavés W 13th (Primera División Femenina)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match50′ opening goal, Madrid CFF W (1-0)
During the match90′ sending-off, Deportivo Alavés W (K. Z. Brima)

What it changes

In this league, “Madrid CFF W or draw” goes from 82.4% to 82.9% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Madrid CFF W on the left, Deportivo Alavés W on the right.

First half

Yellow card · N. Lopez45+4'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · Debora Bebe ⇄ M. Rivas
46'Substitution · E. Nautnes ⇄ M. Aymerich
Substitution · L. Parera ⇄ H. Ait El Haj46'
Substitution · Kim Shin-Ji ⇄ L. Navajas46'
Substitution · A. Guallar ⇄ Y. Diaz46'
50'Goal · S. Villafane
Yellow card · J. Vidal58'
Yellow card · K. Z. Brima64'
67'Yellow card · A. Gonzalez Rosa
68'Yellow card · R. Lejeune
Substitution · C. Sobron ⇄ S. Brasero-Carreira73'
75'Substitution · E. Holt ⇄ A. Ruiz
82'Yellow card · S. Hernandez
83'Substitution · H. Ubamba ⇄ P. Leon
Substitution · Pichi ⇄ Reyes90'
90+1'Substitution · S. Ouzraoui ⇄ A. Herrera
Yellow card · K. Z. Brima90+7'
Red card · K. Z. Brima90+7'

What we announced

6/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Madrid CFF W or draw77%held
- Madrid CFF W took the lead in the 50th minute and never let it go.
Draw or Deportivo Alavés W ahead at half-time63%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 4.5 goals88%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 3.5 goals71%held
Over 1.5 goals78%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time70%held
Madrid CFF W to win52%held
Over 2.5 goals53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMadrid CFF W 2nd, Deportivo Alavés W 13th (Primera División Femenina)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match50′ opening goal, Madrid CFF W (1-0)
During the match90′ sending-off, Deportivo Alavés W (K. Z. Brima)

What it changes

In this league, “Madrid CFF W or draw” goes from 82.4% to 82.9% success rate, over 35 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera División Femenina

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes