Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Valencia

2–3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–2

Real Sociedad

What Janus-12 said

74%

Under 6.5 yellow cards

96% success over 55 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 6.5 yellow cards

1xBet
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 22:34.

Sealed on 20/09, 20:00announced on 07/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 55 matches in this league
61%✓
78% success over 55 matches in this league
87%✓
76% success over 62 matches in this league
66%✓
75% success over 67 matches in this league
74%✗
63% success over 67 matches in this league
78%✗
62% success over 34 matches in this league
53%✗
62% success over 52 matches in this league
75%✗
54% success over 67 matches in this league
69%✓
50% success over 32 matches in this league
58%✗

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 6.5 yellow cards74%held
- 3 yellow cards for 21 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 90th minute.
Under 5.5 yellow cards61%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards87%held
Draw or Real Sociedad ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 26′ Real Sociedad.
Valencia or draw74%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Real Sociedad scored in the 90th minute.
- Valencia chased the score almost all match: Real Sociedad scored as early as the 26th minute.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards75%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Over 4.5 yellow cards58%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableValencia 19th, Real Sociedad 8th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, Real Sociedad (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match57′ equaliser, Valencia (1-1)
During the match75′ Real Sociedad retake the lead (1-2)
During the match84′ equaliser, Valencia (2-2)
During the match90′ Real Sociedad retake the lead (2-3)
During the match90′ sending-off, Real Sociedad (Orri Steinn Óskarsson)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 6.5 yellow cards” goes from 96.4% to 96.4% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Valencia on the left, Real Sociedad on the right.

First half

11'Yellow card · Justin De Haas
12'Yellow card · José Gayà
Goal · Luka Sučić (assist : Job Ochieng)26'
45'Substitution · Filip Ugrinic ⇄ David Otorbi Ejededawe

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Luka Sučić54'
57'Goal · Aaron Mayol (assist : Hugo Duro)
Substitution · Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Orri Steinn Óskarsson61'
Substitution · Job Ochieng ⇄ Ander Barrenetxea61'
Substitution · Jon Gorrotxategi ⇄ Yangel Herrera69'
Substitution · Sergio Gómez ⇄ Aihen Muñoz69'
69'Substitution · Guido Rodríguez ⇄ Harvey Elliott
Penalty goal · Carlos Soler75'
82'Substitution · José Gayà ⇄ Jesús Vázquez
82'Substitution · Hugo Duro ⇄ Aimar Blázquez Labraca
84'Own goal · Luken Beitia Aguirregomezcorta
Substitution · Luka Sučić ⇄ Arsen Zakharyan87'
88'Substitution · Arnaut Danjuma ⇄ Luis Rioja
Goal · Ander Barrenetxea (assist : Carlos Soler)90+1'
Yellow card · Orri Steinn Óskarsson90+6'
Red card · Orri Steinn Óskarsson90+6'

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 6.5 yellow cards74%held
- 3 yellow cards for 21 fouls given, and a sending-off in the 90th minute.
Under 5.5 yellow cards61%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards87%held
Draw or Real Sociedad ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 26′ Real Sociedad.
Valencia or draw74%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Real Sociedad scored in the 90th minute.
- Valencia chased the score almost all match: Real Sociedad scored as early as the 26th minute.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards75%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Over 4.5 yellow cards58%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableValencia 19th, Real Sociedad 8th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, Real Sociedad (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match57′ equaliser, Valencia (1-1)
During the match75′ Real Sociedad retake the lead (1-2)
During the match84′ equaliser, Valencia (2-2)
During the match90′ Real Sociedad retake the lead (2-3)
During the match90′ sending-off, Real Sociedad (Orri Steinn Óskarsson)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 6.5 yellow cards” goes from 96.4% to 96.4% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes