Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Sevilla

1–3full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–2

FC Barcelona

What Janus-12 said

71%

Under 5.5 yellow cards

82% success over 51 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 5.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:35.

Sealed on 19/09, 20:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 51 matches in this league
74%✗
74% success over 62 matches in this league
89%✓
74% success over 57 matches in this league
82%✓
71% success over 31 matches in this league
65%✓
63% success over 62 matches in this league
65%✗
60% success over 48 matches in this league
63%✗
53% success over 62 matches in this league
62%✗
48% success over 29 matches in this league
51%✗
46% success over 63 matches in this league
71%✓

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards71%held
- 1 yellow cards for 21 fouls given.
Over 2.5 yellow cards74%lost
Draw or FC Barcelona89%held
- FC Barcelona took control early: opening goal in the 22nd minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for FC Barcelona against 3.
Draw or FC Barcelona ahead at half-time82%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 19′ Sevilla, 22′ FC Barcelona.
Over 2.5 goals65%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 19th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals65%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards63%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time62%lost
Over 4.5 yellow cards51%lost
FC Barcelona to win71%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSevilla 5th, FC Barcelona 1st (La Liga)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Sevilla (1-0)
During the match22′ equaliser, FC Barcelona (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match52′ turnaround, FC Barcelona go ahead (1-2)
During the match69′ turnaround, FC Barcelona go ahead (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 82.4% to 82.7% success rate, over 52 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sevilla on the left, FC Barcelona on the right.

First half

19'Goal · Youssouf Fofana (assist : Felix Correia)
Goal · Raphael Dias Belloli (assist : Andreas Christensen)22'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Goal · Raphael Dias Belloli (assist : Lamine Yamal)52'
59'Substitution · Felix Correia ⇄ Chidera Ejuke
Substitution · Andreas Christensen ⇄ Gerard Martín59'
68'Substitution · Arouna Sangante ⇄ José Ángel Carmona
68'Substitution · Giorgi Kochorashvili ⇄ Isaac Romero
Goal · Raphael Dias Belloli (assist : Lamine Yamal)69'
Substitution · Fermín López ⇄ Daniel Olmo Carvajal76'
Substitution · Raphael Dias Belloli ⇄ Karim Adeyemi77'
78'Substitution · Miguel Sierra ⇄ Jon Guridi
79'Substitution · Youssouf Fofana ⇄ Alfonso González Martínez
80'Yellow card · Lucien Agoumé
Substitution · Pedri ⇄ Marc Bernal86'
Substitution · Anthony Gordon ⇄ Gabriel Jesus86'

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards71%held
- 1 yellow cards for 21 fouls given.
Over 2.5 yellow cards74%lost
Draw or FC Barcelona89%held
- FC Barcelona took control early: opening goal in the 22nd minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for FC Barcelona against 3.
Draw or FC Barcelona ahead at half-time82%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 19′ Sevilla, 22′ FC Barcelona.
Over 2.5 goals65%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 19th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals65%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards63%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time62%lost
Over 4.5 yellow cards51%lost
FC Barcelona to win71%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSevilla 5th, FC Barcelona 1st (La Liga)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Sevilla (1-0)
During the match22′ equaliser, FC Barcelona (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match52′ turnaround, FC Barcelona go ahead (1-2)
During the match69′ turnaround, FC Barcelona go ahead (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 82.4% to 82.7% success rate, over 52 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes