Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 13:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Osasuna

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Rayo Vallecano

What Janus-12 said

79%

Under 6.5 yellow cards

98% success over 49 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 6.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:35.

Sealed on 19/09, 13:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

82% success over 49 matches in this league
66%✓
80% success over 49 matches in this league
80%✓
76% success over 54 matches in this league
72%✗
75% success over 59 matches in this league
70%✗
73% success over 30 matches in this league
52%✗
63% success over 59 matches in this league
74%✓
61% success over 46 matches in this league
70%✓
53% success over 59 matches in this league
67%✓
48% success over 27 matches in this league
54%✓

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

7/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 6.5 yellow cards79%held
- 5 yellow cards for 34 fouls given.
Under 5.5 yellow cards66%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards80%held
Draw or Rayo Vallecano ahead at half-time72%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 16′ Osasuna.
Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano70%lost
- The two teams managed only 5 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Over 2.5 goals52%lost
Under 3.5 goals74%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards70%held
At most 1 goal before half-time67%held
Over 4.5 yellow cards54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOsasuna 13th, Rayo Vallecano 12th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Osasuna (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ equaliser, Rayo Vallecano (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 6.5 yellow cards” goes from 98% to 98% success rate, over 50 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Osasuna on the left, Rayo Vallecano on the right.

First half

16'Goal · Ante Budimir
21'Yellow card · Asier Osambela
Yellow card · Pathé Ciss24'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Goal · Sergio Camello (assist : Adrià Pedrosa)50'
56'Substitution · Enrique Barja Alfonso ⇄ Raul Moro
56'Substitution · Diego Rico ⇄ Abel Bretones
Substitution · Óscar Valentín ⇄ Pedro Díaz60'
67'Yellow card · Jon Moncayola
69'Substitution · Jon Moncayola ⇄ Lucas Torró
69'Substitution · Rubén García ⇄ Jonathan Dubasin
Substitution · Jorge De Frutos ⇄ Georgiy Tsitaishvili71'
Substitution · Sergio Camello ⇄ Alexandre Zurawski71'
73'Substitution · Unai Santos ⇄ Raul García
77'Yellow card · Sergio Herrera
Substitution · Unai López ⇄ Gnangoro Bouare87'
Substitution · Álvaro García ⇄ Ivan Balliu87'
Yellow card · Alexandre Zurawski90+6'

What we announced

7/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 6.5 yellow cards79%held
- 5 yellow cards for 34 fouls given.
Under 5.5 yellow cards66%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards80%held
Draw or Rayo Vallecano ahead at half-time72%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 16′ Osasuna.
Osasuna or Rayo Vallecano70%lost
- The two teams managed only 5 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Over 2.5 goals52%lost
Under 3.5 goals74%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards70%held
At most 1 goal before half-time67%held
Over 4.5 yellow cards54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOsasuna 13th, Rayo Vallecano 12th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Osasuna (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match50′ equaliser, Rayo Vallecano (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 6.5 yellow cards” goes from 98% to 98% success rate, over 50 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes