Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 17:30. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Celta de Vigo

5–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 3–0

Santander

What Janus-12 said

83%

Under 6.5 yellow cards

98% success over 50 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 17 %

A prediction at 83 % fails 17 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 6.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:35.

Sealed on 19/09, 17:30announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

82% success over 50 matches in this league
69%✗
80% success over 50 matches in this league
84%✓
75% success over 56 matches in this league
63%✗
74% success over 61 matches in this league
76%✓
64% success over 61 matches in this league
74%✗
62% success over 47 matches in this league
67%✓
61% success over 31 matches in this league
51%✗
54% success over 61 matches in this league
68%✗
50% success over 28 matches in this league
51%✓
45% success over 62 matches in this league
50%✓

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

5/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 6.5 yellow cards83%lost
- 7 yellow cards for 24 fouls given.
Under 5.5 yellow cards69%lost
Over 2.5 yellow cards84%held
Draw or Santander ahead at half-time63%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 32′ Celta de Vigo, 43′ Celta de Vigo.
Celta de Vigo or Santander76%held
Under 3.5 goals74%lost
- The two teams had 14 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Over 3.5 yellow cards67%held
Under 2.5 goals51%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time68%lost
Over 4.5 yellow cards51%held
Celta de Vigo to win50%held
- Celta de Vigo took the lead in the 32nd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Celta de Vigo against 5.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCelta de Vigo 14th, Santander 16th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Celta de Vigo (1-0)
During the match43′ Celta de Vigo go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match90′ last goal, Celta de Vigo

What it changes

In this league, “Under 6.5 yellow cards” goes from 98% to 96.1% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Celta de Vigo on the left, Santander on the right.

First half

28'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Ferran Jutglà
32'Penalty goal · Hugo González
43'Goal · Ilaix Moriba (assist : Miguel Roman)
45'Substitution · Hugo González ⇄ Pablo Durán Fernández
45'Substitution · Javier Rueda García ⇄ Sergio Carreira Vilarino
45+3'Yellow card · Javier Rueda García

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Yassir Zabiri57'
Substitution · André Almeida ⇄ Sergio Canales63'
Substitution · Alvaro Mantilla ⇄ Aarón Martin Caricol63'
Substitution · Pablo García ⇄ Asier Villalibre63'
63'Substitution · Ferran Jutglà ⇄ Borja Iglesias
64'Substitution · Williot Swedberg ⇄ Javi Galán
Yellow card · Jeanuël Belocian64'
69'Goal · Miguel Roman
73'Yellow card · Yoel Lago
Yellow card · Pablo Ramon Parra75'
Substitution · Yassir Zabiri ⇄ Giorgi Guliashvili75'
78'Goal · Pablo Durán Fernández (assist : Hugo Alvarez Antunez)
84'Substitution · Miguel Roman ⇄ Hugo Burcio
Substitution · Iván Martín ⇄ Íñigo Sáinz-Maza84'
Yellow card · Sergio Canales90'
90+2'Goal · Pablo Durán Fernández (assist : Hugo Alvarez Antunez)
Yellow card · Iñigo Vicente90+3'

What we announced

5/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 6.5 yellow cards83%lost
- 7 yellow cards for 24 fouls given.
Under 5.5 yellow cards69%lost
Over 2.5 yellow cards84%held
Draw or Santander ahead at half-time63%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 32′ Celta de Vigo, 43′ Celta de Vigo.
Celta de Vigo or Santander76%held
Under 3.5 goals74%lost
- The two teams had 14 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Over 3.5 yellow cards67%held
Under 2.5 goals51%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time68%lost
Over 4.5 yellow cards51%held
Celta de Vigo to win50%held
- Celta de Vigo took the lead in the 32nd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Celta de Vigo against 5.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCelta de Vigo 14th, Santander 16th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Celta de Vigo (1-0)
During the match43′ Celta de Vigo go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match90′ last goal, Celta de Vigo

What it changes

In this league, “Under 6.5 yellow cards” goes from 98% to 96.1% success rate, over 51 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes