Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Tuesday 15 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Wednesday 16 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Rayo Vallecano

2–1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–1

Espanyol

What Janus-12 said

59%

Draw or Espanyol ahead at half-time

78% success over 46 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 41 %

A prediction at 59 % fails 41 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Espanyol ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 15/09, 21:31.

Sealed on 15/09, 18:00announced on 02/09/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 50 matches in this league
78%✓
65% success over 51 matches in this league
77%✓
64% success over 25 matches in this league
55%✗
53% success over 51 matches in this league
69%✗
43% success over 51 matches in this league
51%✓

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Espanyol ahead at half-time59%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 3′ Rayo Vallecano, 26′ Rayo Vallecano.
Rayo Vallecano or draw78%held
- Rayo Vallecano took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Rayo Vallecano took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Under 3.5 goals77%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Under 2.5 goals55%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At most 1 goal before half-time69%lost
Rayo Vallecano to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRayo Vallecano 12th, Espanyol 15th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Rayo Vallecano (1-0)
During the match26′ Rayo Vallecano go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match90′ sending-off, Espanyol (Omar El Hilali)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Espanyol ahead at half-time” goes from 78.3% to 76.6% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,604 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Rayo Vallecano on the left, Espanyol on the right.

First half

3'Goal · Álvaro García
26'Goal · Adrià Pedrosa (assist : Álvaro García)
Substitution · Roger Hinojo ⇄ Marcos Fernández45'
Substitution · Rafel Bauzà ⇄ Bryan Zaragoza45'
Substitution · Gabriel Moscardo ⇄ Eduardo Expósito Jaén45'
45+2'Yellow card · Unai López

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Goal · Roberto Fernández Jaén (assist : Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa)54'
61'Substitution · Mujaid Sadick ⇄ Óscar Valentín
61'Substitution · Unai López ⇄ Gnangoro Bouare
Yellow card · Marcos Fernández63'
67'Yellow card · Georgiy Tsitaishvili
70'Yellow card · Pathé Ciss
Substitution · Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa ⇄ Álex Calatrava Torrado74'
76'Substitution · Georgiy Tsitaishvili ⇄ Francisco Pérez Martínez
76'Substitution · Sergio Camello ⇄ Alexandre Zurawski
80'Yellow card · Gnangoro Bouare
Substitution · Urko Gonzalez ⇄ Pol Lozano84'
84'Substitution · Álvaro García ⇄ Ivan Balliu
90+1'Yellow card · Alexandre Zurawski
Red card · Omar El Hilali90+8'

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Espanyol ahead at half-time59%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 3′ Rayo Vallecano, 26′ Rayo Vallecano.
Rayo Vallecano or draw78%held
- Rayo Vallecano took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Rayo Vallecano took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Under 3.5 goals77%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Under 2.5 goals55%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At most 1 goal before half-time69%lost
Rayo Vallecano to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRayo Vallecano 12th, Espanyol 15th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Rayo Vallecano (1-0)
During the match26′ Rayo Vallecano go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match90′ sending-off, Espanyol (Omar El Hilali)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Espanyol ahead at half-time” goes from 78.3% to 76.6% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,604 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes