Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Thursday, 17 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Thursday 17 September at 20:30. Originally planned for Wednesday 16 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Málaga

1–3full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 0–1

Villarreal

What Janus-12 said

72%

Málaga or Villarreal

75% success over 57 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Málaga or Villarreal

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 17/09, 17:30.

Sealed on 17/09, 20:30announced on 02/09/2026, 15 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 52 matches in this league
72%✓
65% success over 57 matches in this league
79%✗
64% success over 28 matches in this league
54%✗
54% success over 57 matches in this league
70%✗

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Málaga or Villarreal72%held
Draw or Villarreal ahead at half-time72%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 12′ Málaga, 40′ Villarreal, 45′ Villarreal.
Under 3.5 goals79%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 12th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals54%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMálaga 20th, Villarreal 9th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Málaga (1-0)
During the match40′ equaliser, Villarreal (1-1)
During the match45′ turnaround, Villarreal go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match86′ turnaround, Villarreal go ahead (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Málaga or Villarreal” goes from 75.4% to 75.9% success rate, over 58 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,014 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Málaga on the left, Villarreal on the right.

First half

12'Goal · Carlos Dotor (assist : Juan Cruz)
34'Yellow card · José Salinas
Substitution · Santi Comesaña ⇄ Pape Gueye37'
Goal · Alberto Moleiro (assist : Ilias Akhomach Chakkour)40'
Yellow card · Ilias Akhomach Chakkour42'
45'Substitution · Juan Cruz ⇄ Dani Lorenzo
45'Substitution · José Salinas ⇄ Rafael Garrido Hierro
Goal · Pape Gueye (assist : Ayoze Pérez)45+2'

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

61'Substitution · Izan Merino ⇄ Joaquín Muñoz
61'Substitution · Carlos Dotor ⇄ Adrian Nino
Substitution · Ayoze Pérez ⇄ Georges Mikautadze63'
Substitution · Ilias Akhomach Chakkour ⇄ Carlos Romero63'
68'Yellow card · David Larrubia
70'Yellow card · Einar Galilea
75'Substitution · Carlos Puga ⇄ Ramón Enríquez
79'Yellow card · Ramón Enríquez
Substitution · Alberto Moleiro ⇄ Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González80'
Substitution · Nathan-Dylan Saliba ⇄ Carlos Macià80'
VAR: Goal cancelled · Carlos Romero82'
85'Yellow card · Alfonso Herrero
Penalty goal · Pape Gueye86'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Málaga or Villarreal72%held
Draw or Villarreal ahead at half-time72%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 12′ Málaga, 40′ Villarreal, 45′ Villarreal.
Under 3.5 goals79%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 12th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals54%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableMálaga 20th, Villarreal 9th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Málaga (1-0)
During the match40′ equaliser, Villarreal (1-1)
During the match45′ turnaround, Villarreal go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match86′ turnaround, Villarreal go ahead (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Málaga or Villarreal” goes from 75.4% to 75.9% success rate, over 58 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,014 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes