Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Tuesday 15 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Wednesday 16 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Deportivo Alavés

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Valencia

What Janus-12 said

62%

Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time

78% success over 46 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 15/09, 21:31.

Sealed on 15/09, 19:00announced on 02/09/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 50 matches in this league
78%✗
73% success over 26 matches in this league
51%✗
65% success over 51 matches in this league
73%✓
53% success over 51 matches in this league
69%✓
43% success over 51 matches in this league
53%✗

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time62%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Deportivo Alavés or draw78%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Deportivo Alavés had 15 shots against 10, for 0 goal against 1.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 78th minute came from a substitute.
Over 2.5 goals51%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Under 3.5 goals73%held
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Deportivo Alavés to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Alavés 6th, Valencia 19th (La Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match78′ opening goal, Valencia (0-1)
Line-up78′ the goal came off the bench: Luis Rioja (Valencia)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time” goes from 78.3% to 78.7% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,604 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Deportivo Alavés on the left, Valencia on the right.

First half

VAR: Goal cancelled · Arnaut Danjuma18'
Yellow card · Javi Guerra21'
21'Yellow card · Antonio Blanco
Yellow card · José Luis García Vayá45+2'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Aaron Mayol52'
Yellow card · Guido Rodríguez61'
Substitution · Hugo Duro ⇄ Luis Rioja63'
67'Substitution · Toni Martínez ⇄ Mariano Díaz
67'Substitution · Denis Suárez ⇄ Youssef Enriquez
Substitution · Guido Rodríguez ⇄ David Otorbi Ejededawe70'
Goal · Luis Rioja (assist : Javi Guerra)78'
Substitution · Luis Rioja ⇄ Jesús Vázquez82'
Substitution · Justin De Haas ⇄ Iker Córdoba82'
Substitution · Pablo Maffeo ⇄ Arnau Martínez López82'
85'Substitution · Angel Pérez Hidalgo ⇄ Carles Aleñá
85'Substitution · Antonio Blanco ⇄ Ander Guevara
85'Substitution · Abderrahmane Rebbach ⇄ Miguel Rodríguez

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time62%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Deportivo Alavés or draw78%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Deportivo Alavés had 15 shots against 10, for 0 goal against 1.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 78th minute came from a substitute.
Over 2.5 goals51%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Under 3.5 goals73%held
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Deportivo Alavés to win53%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Alavés 6th, Valencia 19th (La Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match78′ opening goal, Valencia (0-1)
Line-up78′ the goal came off the bench: Luis Rioja (Valencia)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time” goes from 78.3% to 78.7% success rate, over 47 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,604 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes