Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Friday 11 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Sevilla

1-0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Valencia

What Janus-12 said

69%

Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time

76% success over 37 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 00:01.

Sealed on 11/09, 20:00announced on 30/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 41 matches in this league
71%✓
61% success over 41 matches in this league
78%✓
58% success over 19 matches in this league
55%✓
54% success over 41 matches in this league
69%✓

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time69%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Sevilla or draw71%held
- Sevilla took the lead in the 81st minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Sevilla against 0.
Under 3.5 goals78%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Under 2.5 goals55%held
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSevilla 5th, Valencia 19th (La Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match81′ opening goal, Sevilla (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time” goes from 75.7% to 76.3% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sevilla on the left, Valencia on the right.

First half

Substitution · César Tárrega Requeni ⇄ Iker Córdoba24'
Yellow card · Ryunosuke Sato27'

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

Substitution · Arnau Martínez López ⇄ Pablo Maffeo62'
Substitution · Ryunosuke Sato ⇄ Harvey Elliott62'
63'Substitution · Isaac Romero ⇄ Robbie Ure
63'Substitution · Miguel Sierra ⇄ Chidera Ejuke
67'Yellow card · Chidera Ejuke
71'Substitution · Youssouf Fofana ⇄ Giorgi Kochorashvili
81'Goal · Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez (assist : Giorgi Kochorashvili)
Substitution · Javi Guerra ⇄ Hugo Duro83'
Substitution · José Gayà ⇄ Jesús Vázquez83'
83'Substitution · Lucas Stassin ⇄ Jon Guridi
83'Substitution · Felix Correia ⇄ Julio Diaz
Yellow card · Pablo Maffeo88'

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time69%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Sevilla or draw71%held
- Sevilla took the lead in the 81st minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Sevilla against 0.
Under 3.5 goals78%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
Under 2.5 goals55%held
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSevilla 5th, Valencia 19th (La Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match81′ opening goal, Sevilla (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time” goes from 75.7% to 76.3% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes