Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Real Sociedad

0–3full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–3

Atlético de Madrid

What Janus-12 said

74%

Draw or Atlético de Madrid ahead at half-time

77% success over 44 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Atlético de Madrid ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 13/09, 20:00announced on 30/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

73% success over 48 matches in this league
71%✓
67% success over 24 matches in this league
53%✗
63% success over 49 matches in this league
75%✓
53% success over 49 matches in this league
68%✓

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Atlético de Madrid ahead at half-time74%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Real Sociedad or Atlético de Madrid71%held
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals75%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At most 1 goal before half-time68%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Sociedad 8th, Atlético de Madrid 2nd (La Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match84′ opening goal, Atlético de Madrid (0-1)
During the match90′ Atlético de Madrid go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Atlético de Madrid ahead at half-time” goes from 77.3% to 77.8% success rate, over 45 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Real Sociedad on the left, Atlético de Madrid on the right.

First half

18'Yellow card · Yangel Herrera

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Alejandro Baena Rodríguez ⇄ Johnny Cardoso59'
Substitution · Marcos Llorente ⇄ Jonathan David60'
Substitution · Lee Kang-In ⇄ Koke60'
72'Yellow card · Pellegrino Matarazzo
72'Substitution · Ander Barrenetxea ⇄ Job Ochieng
72'Substitution · Gonçalo Guedes ⇄ Takefusa Kubo
Yellow card · Johnny Cardoso75'
Substitution · Ademola Lookman ⇄ Arnau Ortiz76'
78'Substitution · Carlos Soler ⇄ Jon Gorrotxategi
78'Yellow card · Mikel Oyarzabal
79'Substitution · Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Orri Steinn Óskarsson
Penalty goal · Alejandro Grimaldo84'
85'Substitution · Yangel Herrera ⇄ Arsen Zakharyan
Goal · Jonathan David (assist : Alejandro Grimaldo)90'
Goal · Giuliano Simeone Baldini (assist : Dávid Hancko)90+5'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Atlético de Madrid ahead at half-time74%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Real Sociedad or Atlético de Madrid71%held
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals75%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At most 1 goal before half-time68%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Sociedad 8th, Atlético de Madrid 2nd (La Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match84′ opening goal, Atlético de Madrid (0-1)
During the match90′ Atlético de Madrid go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Atlético de Madrid ahead at half-time” goes from 77.3% to 77.8% success rate, over 45 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes