Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 13:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Santander

2-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Deportivo Alavés

What Janus-12 said

74%

Draw or Deportivo Alavés ahead at half-time

76% success over 38 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Deportivo Alavés ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 04:52.

Sealed on 12/09, 13:00announced on 30/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 41 matches in this league
70%✓
68% success over 22 matches in this league
58%✓
62% success over 42 matches in this league
69%✓
55% success over 42 matches in this league
62%✗

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Deportivo Alavés ahead at half-time74%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 18′ Deportivo Alavés, 38′ Santander.
Santander or Deportivo Alavés70%held
Over 2.5 goals58%held
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 18th minute, 3 in total.
Under 3.5 goals69%held
- The two teams managed only 12 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At most 1 goal before half-time62%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSantander 16th, Deportivo Alavés 6th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, Deportivo Alavés (0-1)
During the match38′ equaliser, Santander (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match53′ turnaround, Santander go ahead (2-1)
During the match89′ sending-off, Santander (André Almeida)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Deportivo Alavés ahead at half-time” goes from 76.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Santander on the left, Deportivo Alavés on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Nahuel Tenaglia7'
Yellow card · Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras8'
Goal · Ville Koski18'
35'Yellow card · Yassir Zabiri
38'Goal · Yassir Zabiri (assist : Iñigo Vicente)
Substitution · Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras ⇄ Carlos Protesoni45'
Substitution · Nahuel Tenaglia ⇄ Nicolas Valentini45'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

53'Goal · Yassir Zabiri
Yellow card · Antonio Blanco62'
62'Yellow card · Jorge Salinas Viadero
65'Substitution · Pablo García ⇄ André Almeida
Substitution · Antonio Blanco ⇄ Carles Aleñá67'
Substitution · Mariano Díaz ⇄ Toni Martínez67'
74'Substitution · Yassir Zabiri ⇄ Giorgi Guliashvili
74'Substitution · Sergio Canales ⇄ Iker Luque
83'Substitution · Matteo Prati ⇄ Maguette Gueye
83'Substitution · Iñigo Vicente ⇄ Asier Villalibre
Substitution · Angel Pérez Hidalgo ⇄ Aitor Mañas86'
88'VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · André Almeida
89'Red card · André Almeida
90+7'Substitution · Giorgi Guliashvili ⇄ Pedro Felipe
Substitution · Aitor Mañas ⇄ Miguel Rodríguez90+7'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Deportivo Alavés ahead at half-time74%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 18′ Deportivo Alavés, 38′ Santander.
Santander or Deportivo Alavés70%held
Over 2.5 goals58%held
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 18th minute, 3 in total.
Under 3.5 goals69%held
- The two teams managed only 12 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At most 1 goal before half-time62%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSantander 16th, Deportivo Alavés 6th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, Deportivo Alavés (0-1)
During the match38′ equaliser, Santander (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match53′ turnaround, Santander go ahead (2-1)
During the match89′ sending-off, Santander (André Almeida)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Deportivo Alavés ahead at half-time” goes from 76.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes