Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Sunday 13 September at 13:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Celta de Vigo

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Málaga

What Janus-12 said

63%

Draw or Málaga ahead at half-time

78% success over 41 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 37 %

A prediction at 63 % fails 37 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Málaga ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 04:45.

Sealed on 13/09, 13:00announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 45 matches in this league
76%✓
64% success over 22 matches in this league
64%✓
63% success over 46 matches in this league
80%✓
52% success over 46 matches in this league
73%✓

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Málaga ahead at half-time63%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 41′ Celta de Vigo.
Celta de Vigo or draw76%held
- Celta de Vigo were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Celta de Vigo against 2.
Under 2.5 goals64%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Under 3.5 goals80%held
At most 1 goal before half-time73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCelta de Vigo 14th, Málaga 20th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match41′ opening goal, Celta de Vigo (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match83′ equaliser, Málaga (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Málaga ahead at half-time” goes from 78% to 76.2% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Celta de Vigo on the left, Málaga on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Einar Galilea24'
26'Yellow card · Yoel Lago
41'Goal · Ferran Jutglà (assist : Hugo González)
Substitution · Einar Galilea ⇄ Ramón Enríquez45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Joaquín Muñoz ⇄ Juan Cruz61'
62'Substitution · Hugo González ⇄ Williot Swedberg
Substitution · Dani Lorenzo ⇄ Carlos Puga67'
Substitution · Izan Merino ⇄ Adrian Nino67'
74'Substitution · Ilaix Moriba ⇄ Hugo Burcio
74'Substitution · Hugo Alvarez Antunez ⇄ Couhaib Driouech
Goal · Adrian Nino (assist : Pablo Martínez Andrés)83'
84'Substitution · Javier Rueda García ⇄ Javi Galán
84'Substitution · Ferran Jutglà ⇄ Iago Aspas
Substitution · José Salinas ⇄ Juan Berrocal87'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Málaga ahead at half-time63%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 41′ Celta de Vigo.
Celta de Vigo or draw76%held
- Celta de Vigo were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Celta de Vigo against 2.
Under 2.5 goals64%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Under 3.5 goals80%held
At most 1 goal before half-time73%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCelta de Vigo 14th, Málaga 20th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match41′ opening goal, Celta de Vigo (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match83′ equaliser, Málaga (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Málaga ahead at half-time” goes from 78% to 76.2% success rate, over 42 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes