Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 17:30. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Athletic Club

1–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Elche

What Janus-12 said

61%

Draw or Elche ahead at half-time

78% success over 40 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Elche ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 12/09, 17:30announced on 30/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 43 matches in this league
80%✓
64% success over 44 matches in this league
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62% success over 21 matches in this league
50%✓
52% success over 44 matches in this league
67%✓
43% success over 44 matches in this league
54%✗

La Liga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Elche ahead at half-time61%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Athletic Club or draw80%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 3 shots on target for Athletic Club against 1.
Under 3.5 goals75%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Under 2.5 goals50%held
At most 1 goal before half-time67%held
Athletic Club to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Athletic Club had 19 shots against 3, for 1 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAthletic Club 10th, Elche 18th (La Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match50′ opening goal, Elche (0-1)
During the match79′ equaliser, Athletic Club (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Elche ahead at half-time” goes from 77.5% to 78% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Athletic Club on the left, Elche on the right.

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Penalty goal · Facundo Buonanotte50'
Yellow card · Federico Redondo Solari56'
65'Substitution · Jesus Areso ⇄ Johaneko Louis-Jean
65'Substitution · Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta ⇄ Mikel Jauregizar
Substitution · Fernando Niño Rodríguez ⇄ Abiel Alessio Osorio69'
Substitution · Facundo Buonanotte ⇄ Thomas Lemar69'
72'Substitution · Robert Navarro Muñoz ⇄ Alex Berenguer
Yellow card · Abiel Alessio Osorio75'
Substitution · Tete Morente ⇄ Ruben Sanchez Saez76'
79'Goal · Iñaki Williams (assist : Alex Berenguer)
81'Yellow card · Alex Berenguer
81'Yellow card · Beñat Gerenabarrena
81'Substitution · Iñaki Williams ⇄ Maroan Sannadi
Substitution · Germán Valera ⇄ Lucas Cepeda82'
Substitution · Gonzalo Villar ⇄ Martim Neto83'
Yellow card · Ruben Sanchez Saez90+6'
90+7'Yellow card · Yuri Berchiche

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Elche ahead at half-time61%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Athletic Club or draw80%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 3 shots on target for Athletic Club against 1.
Under 3.5 goals75%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 4 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Under 2.5 goals50%held
At most 1 goal before half-time67%held
Athletic Club to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Athletic Club had 19 shots against 3, for 1 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAthletic Club 10th, Elche 18th (La Liga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match50′ opening goal, Elche (0-1)
During the match79′ equaliser, Athletic Club (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Elche ahead at half-time” goes from 77.5% to 78% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes