Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Villarreal

2-3full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–2

Deportivo La Coruña

What Janus-12 said

57%

Draw or Deportivo La Coruña ahead at half-time

77% success over 30 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Deportivo La Coruña ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 04:59.

Sealed on 05/09, 20:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 34 matches in this league
82%✗
65% success over 20 matches in this league
55%✓
65% success over 34 matches in this league
71%✗
56% success over 34 matches in this league
64%✗
47% success over 34 matches in this league
57%✗

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

2/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Deportivo La Coruña ahead at half-time57%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 19′ Villarreal, 43′ Deportivo La Coruña.
Villarreal or draw82%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Deportivo La Coruña scored in the 88th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Villarreal had 17 shots against 8, for 2 goals against 3.
Over 2.5 goals55%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 19th minute, 5 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals71%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time64%lost
Villarreal to win57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVillarreal 9th, Deportivo La Coruña 7th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Villarreal (1-0)
During the match43′ equaliser, Deportivo La Coruña (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match76′ Villarreal retake the lead (2-1)
During the match79′ equaliser, Deportivo La Coruña (2-2)
During the match88′ turnaround, Deportivo La Coruña go ahead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Deportivo La Coruña ahead at half-time” goes from 76.7% to 77.4% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Villarreal on the left, Deportivo La Coruña on the right.

First half

19'Goal · Nicolas Pépé (assist : Ayoze Pérez)
Goal · Luismi Cruz (assist : Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang)43'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

Substitution · Riki Rodríguez ⇄ Yeremay Hernández54'
62'Substitution · Ayoze Pérez ⇄ Georges Mikautadze
62'Substitution · Pape Gueye ⇄ Santi Comesaña
62'Substitution · Alberto Moleiro ⇄ Tajon Buchanan
Substitution · Mario Soriano ⇄ Marc Casadó66'
Substitution · Bil Nsongo ⇄ Adama Traoré66'
Substitution · José María Giménez ⇄ Miguel Loureiro66'
76'Own goal · Adama Traoré
Substitution · Luismi Cruz ⇄ Zakaria Eddahchouri77'
77'Substitution · Gerard Moreno ⇄ Tani Oluwaseyi
Goal · Zakaria Eddahchouri (assist : Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang)79'
81'Yellow card · Santi Comesaña
83'Substitution · Logan Costa ⇄ Ilias Akhomach Chakkour
87'Yellow card · Tajon Buchanan
Goal · Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang88'
Yellow card · Lorenzo Amatucci90+1'
Yellow card · Yeremay Hernández90+3'

What we announced

2/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Deportivo La Coruña ahead at half-time57%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 19′ Villarreal, 43′ Deportivo La Coruña.
Villarreal or draw82%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Deportivo La Coruña scored in the 88th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Villarreal had 17 shots against 8, for 2 goals against 3.
Over 2.5 goals55%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 19th minute, 5 in total.
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals71%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time64%lost
Villarreal to win57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVillarreal 9th, Deportivo La Coruña 7th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Villarreal (1-0)
During the match43′ equaliser, Deportivo La Coruña (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match76′ Villarreal retake the lead (2-1)
During the match79′ equaliser, Deportivo La Coruña (2-2)
During the match88′ turnaround, Deportivo La Coruña go ahead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Deportivo La Coruña ahead at half-time” goes from 76.7% to 77.4% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes