Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Monday, 7 September 2026

Elche

2-3full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 2–1

Real Sociedad

What Janus-12 said

70%

Draw or Real Sociedad ahead at half-time

75% success over 36 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Real Sociedad ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 07/09, 04:37.

Sealed on 07/09, 20:30announced on 25/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 40 matches in this league
70%✓
63% success over 40 matches in this league
77%✗
61% success over 18 matches in this league
51%✗
55% success over 40 matches in this league
68%✗

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Real Sociedad ahead at half-time70%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 11′ Real Sociedad, 31′ Real Sociedad.
Elche or Real Sociedad70%held
Under 3.5 goals77%lost
- The two teams had 16 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 11th minute, 5 in total.
Under 2.5 goals51%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time68%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableElche 18th, Real Sociedad 8th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Real Sociedad (0-1)
During the match31′ Real Sociedad go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match64′ sending-off, Real Sociedad (Jon Martin)
During the match74′ Elche come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ Real Sociedad retake the lead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Real Sociedad ahead at half-time” goes from 75% to 75.7% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,908 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Elche on the left, Real Sociedad on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Jon Aramburu9'
Goal · Job Ochieng (assist : Carlos Soler)11'
Goal · Yangel Herrera (assist : Job Ochieng)31'
43'Yellow card · Tete Morente

Half-time0 - 2

Second half

55'Substitution · Ezequiel Ponce ⇄ Abiel Alessio Osorio
55'Substitution · Facundo Buonanotte ⇄ Thomas Lemar
57'Yellow card · Abiel Alessio Osorio
Substitution · Gonçalo Guedes ⇄ Alex Marchal García58'
Substitution · Mamadou Sarr ⇄ Jon Martin58'
VAR: Goal cancelled · Luka Sučić63'
Red card · Jon Martin64'
67'Goal · Thomas Lemar (assist : Víctor Chust)
68'Yellow card · Germán Valera
Substitution · Yangel Herrera ⇄ Jon Pacheco70'
Substitution · Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Jon Gorrotxategi70'
70'Substitution · Gonzalo Villar ⇄ Lucas Cepeda
74'Goal · Fernando Niño Rodríguez (assist : Tete Morente)
Substitution · Alex Marchal García ⇄ Hector Fort81'
81'Substitution · Germán Valera ⇄ José Antonio Ferrández Pomares
81'Substitution · Buba Sangaré ⇄ Roy Revivo
Goal · Luka Sučić (assist : Job Ochieng)90'
90+7'Yellow card · Thomas Lemar

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Real Sociedad ahead at half-time70%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 11′ Real Sociedad, 31′ Real Sociedad.
Elche or Real Sociedad70%held
Under 3.5 goals77%lost
- The two teams had 16 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 11th minute, 5 in total.
Under 2.5 goals51%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time68%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableElche 18th, Real Sociedad 8th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match11′ opening goal, Real Sociedad (0-1)
During the match31′ Real Sociedad go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match64′ sending-off, Real Sociedad (Jon Martin)
During the match74′ Elche come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ Real Sociedad retake the lead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Real Sociedad ahead at half-time” goes from 75% to 75.7% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,908 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes