Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Deportivo Alavés

5-2full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 3–2

Osasuna

What Janus-12 said

65%

Draw or Osasuna ahead at half-time

78% success over 32 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 35 %

A prediction at 65 % fails 35 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Osasuna ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 06/09, 17:30announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 36 matches in this league
74%✓
61% success over 36 matches in this league
78%✗
57% success over 14 matches in this league
55%✗
53% success over 36 matches in this league
73%✗

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

1/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Osasuna ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 27′ Deportivo Alavés, 36′ Deportivo Alavés.
Deportivo Alavés or draw74%held
- Deportivo Alavés took the lead in the 27th minute and never let it go.
- Deportivo Alavés took control early: opening goal in the 27th minute.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals55%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time73%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Alavés 6th, Osasuna 13th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Deportivo Alavés (1-0)
During the match36′ Deportivo Alavés go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match90′ last goal, Deportivo Alavés

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Osasuna ahead at half-time” goes from 78.1% to 75.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Deportivo Alavés on the left, Osasuna on the right.

First half

27'Goal · Lucas Boyé (assist : Mariano Díaz)
36'Goal · Mariano Díaz (assist : Antonio Sivera)

Half-time2 - 0

Second half

Goal · Ante Budimir (assist : Moi Gómez)46'
51'Goal · Lucas Boyé (assist : Carles Aleñá)
Yellow card · Abel Bretones58'
Substitution · Rubén García ⇄ Jonathan Dubasin60'
Substitution · Enzo Boyomo ⇄ Rockson Yeboah60'
Substitution · Moi Gómez ⇄ Raul Moro60'
62'Yellow card · Abderrahmane Rebbach
Penalty goal · Ante Budimir64'
68'Goal · Lucas Boyé (assist : Angel Pérez Hidalgo)
71'Substitution · Mariano Díaz ⇄ Aitor Mañas
71'Substitution · Carles Aleñá ⇄ Denis Suárez
71'Substitution · Abderrahmane Rebbach ⇄ Youssef Enriquez
80'Substitution · Jonny Otto ⇄ Xanet Oláiz Ibarzábal
Yellow card · Rockson Yeboah84'
85'Substitution · Lucas Boyé ⇄ Miguel Rodríguez
Substitution · Íñigo Arguibide ⇄ Asier Osambela85'
90'Goal · Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras (assist : Angel Pérez Hidalgo)

What we announced

1/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Osasuna ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 27′ Deportivo Alavés, 36′ Deportivo Alavés.
Deportivo Alavés or draw74%held
- Deportivo Alavés took the lead in the 27th minute and never let it go.
- Deportivo Alavés took control early: opening goal in the 27th minute.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals55%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time73%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Alavés 6th, Osasuna 13th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match27′ opening goal, Deportivo Alavés (1-0)
During the match36′ Deportivo Alavés go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match90′ last goal, Deportivo Alavés

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Osasuna ahead at half-time” goes from 78.1% to 75.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes