Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Real Sociedad

2-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Espanyol

What Janus-12 said

77%

Real Sociedad or draw

82% success over 22 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Real Sociedad or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 06:06.

Sealed on 29/08, 18:00announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 20 matches in this league
67%✓
73% success over 22 matches in this league
77%✓
71% success over 7 matches in this league
57%✗
68% success over 22 matches in this league
70%✗

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Real Sociedad or draw77%held
- Real Sociedad took the lead in the 61st minute and never let it go.
- Real Sociedad took control early: opening goal in the 4th minute.
Draw or Espanyol ahead at half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 4′ Real Sociedad, 45′ Espanyol.
Under 3.5 goals77%held
- The two teams managed only 13 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Under 2.5 goals57%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 4th minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Sociedad 8th, Espanyol 15th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Real Sociedad (1-0)
During the match45′ equaliser, Espanyol (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match61′ Real Sociedad retake the lead (2-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Real Sociedad (Pellegrino Matarazzo)

What it changes

In this league, “Real Sociedad or draw” goes from 81.8% to 82.6% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Real Sociedad on the left, Espanyol on the right.

First half

4'Goal · Ander Barrenetxea (assist : Mikel Oyarzabal)
17'Yellow card · Benat Turrientes
Yellow card · Urko Gonzalez22'
Goal · Roberto Fernández Jaén (assist : Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa)45'
Substitution · Urko Gonzalez ⇄ Gabriel Moscardo45'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

61'Goal · Orri Steinn Óskarsson (assist : Mikel Oyarzabal)
62'Substitution · Benat Turrientes ⇄ Yangel Herrera
63'Substitution · Ander Barrenetxea ⇄ Alex Marchal García
Substitution · Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa ⇄ Marcos Fernández70'
Substitution · Eduardo Expósito Jaén ⇄ Rafel Bauzà70'
Yellow card · Marcos Fernández75'
78'Substitution · Orri Steinn Óskarsson ⇄ Gonçalo Guedes
78'Substitution · Luka Sučić ⇄ Takefusa Kubo
Yellow card · Roger Hinojo82'
Substitution · Tyrhys Dolan ⇄ Jofre Carreras Pagès83'
Substitution · Roberto Fernández Jaén ⇄ Pere Milla83'
Yellow card · Rafel Bauzà88'
90'Substitution · Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Jon Gorrotxategi
90+3'Yellow card · Igor Zubeldia
90+4'Red card · Pellegrino Matarazzo

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Real Sociedad or draw77%held
- Real Sociedad took the lead in the 61st minute and never let it go.
- Real Sociedad took control early: opening goal in the 4th minute.
Draw or Espanyol ahead at half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 4′ Real Sociedad, 45′ Espanyol.
Under 3.5 goals77%held
- The two teams managed only 13 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
Under 2.5 goals57%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 4th minute, 3 in total.
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Sociedad 8th, Espanyol 15th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Real Sociedad (1-0)
During the match45′ equaliser, Espanyol (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match61′ Real Sociedad retake the lead (2-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Real Sociedad (Pellegrino Matarazzo)

What it changes

In this league, “Real Sociedad or draw” goes from 81.8% to 82.6% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes