Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

Santander

3-2full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 0–2

Elche

What Janus-12 said

72%

Santander or Elche

80% success over 20 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Santander or Elche

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 28/08, 04:43.

Sealed on 28/08, 18:00announced on 15/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 20 matches in this league
69%✗
75% success over 20 matches in this league
73%✗
70% success over 20 matches in this league
62%✗
65% success over 20 matches in this league
54%✓

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Santander or Elche72%held
Draw or Elche ahead at half-time69%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 15′ Santander, 21′ Santander, 36′ Santander.
Under 3.5 goals73%lost
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 15th minute, 5 in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time62%lost
Over 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSantander 16th, Elche 18th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Santander (1-0)
During the match21′ Santander go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match79′ last goal, Elche

What it changes

In this league, “Santander or Elche” goes from 80% to 81% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,177 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Santander on the left, Elche on the right.

First half

15'Goal · Y. Zabiri
21'Goal · Y. Zabiri
36'Goal · Y. Zabiri (assist : I. Vicente)
43'Yellow card · F. Gonzalez
45'Yellow card · A. Mantilla

Half-time3 - 0

Second half

Substitution · A. Houary ⇄ E. Ponce46'
Substitution · M. Aguado ⇄ Tete Morente46'
59'Substitution · A. Martin ⇄ M. Prati
Substitution · P. Bigas ⇄ J. Morcillo62'
Yellow card · F. Buonanotte63'
69'Substitution · I. Vicente ⇄ G. Guliashvili
69'Substitution · Y. Zabiri ⇄ A. Villalibre
Substitution · F. Buonanotte ⇄ L. Cepeda69'
Goal · Buba Sangare (assist : L. Cepeda)78'
Goal · F. Nino (assist : Tete Morente)79'
Substitution · Buba Sangare ⇄ Josan84'
85'Substitution · S. Canales ⇄ M. Gueye

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Santander or Elche72%held
Draw or Elche ahead at half-time69%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 15′ Santander, 21′ Santander, 36′ Santander.
Under 3.5 goals73%lost
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 15th minute, 5 in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time62%lost
Over 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSantander 16th, Elche 18th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Santander (1-0)
During the match21′ Santander go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match79′ last goal, Elche

What it changes

In this league, “Santander or Elche” goes from 80% to 81% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,177 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes