Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Levante

5-2full timeHT 2–2 · 2H 3–0

Real Betis

What Janus-12 said

72%

Draw or Real Betis

82% success over 22 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 28 %

A prediction at 72 % fails 28 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Real Betis

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 15:43.

Sealed on 29/08, 16:00announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 20 matches in this league
75%✓
73% success over 22 matches in this league
73%✗
68% success over 22 matches in this league
67%✗
60% success over 15 matches in this league
51%✓

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Real Betis72%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Levante scored in the 90th minute.
- Real Betis chased the score almost all match: Levante scored as early as the 24th minute.
Draw or Real Betis ahead at half-time75%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 24′ Levante, 34′ Real Betis, 45′ Levante, 45′ Real Betis.
Under 3.5 goals73%lost
- The two teams had 16 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At most 1 goal before half-time67%lost
Over 2.5 goals51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLevante 17th, Real Betis 3rd (La Liga)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, Levante (1-0)
During the match34′ equaliser, Real Betis (1-1)
During the match45′ Levante retake the lead (2-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Real Betis (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match56′ Levante retake the lead (3-2)
During the match70′ Levante go 2 goals up (4-2)
During the match90′ last goal, Levante

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Real Betis” goes from 81.8% to 78.3% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Levante on the left, Real Betis on the right.

First half

24'Goal · Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla (assist : Jon Ander Olasagasti)
Goal · Marc Bartra34'
45'Substitution · Nacho Pérez Gómez ⇄ Jeremy Toljan
45+1'Goal · Enzo Bardeli
Goal · Rodrigo Riquelme (assist : Marc Roca)45+4'

Half-time2 - 2

Second half

56'Goal · Roger Brugué (assist : Enzo Bardeli)
Substitution · Isco ⇄ Pablo Fornals57'
Substitution · Troy Parrott ⇄ Cucho Hernández57'
65'Substitution · Enzo Bardeli ⇄ Hugo Sotelo
Substitution · Marc Roca ⇄ Pablo García67'
Substitution · Rodrigo Riquelme ⇄ Nelson Deossa67'
Yellow card · Pablo García69'
70'Goal · Roger Brugué
72'Substitution · Thiago Cruz Fernandez ⇄ Víctor García
72'Substitution · Iván Romero ⇄ Karl Etta Eyong
Substitution · Facundo Bernal ⇄ Abde Ezzalzouli74'
84'Substitution · Roger Brugué ⇄ Paco Cortés
86'Yellow card · Jeremy Toljan
90+5'Goal · Jon Ander Olasagasti (assist : Karl Etta Eyong)

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Real Betis72%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Levante scored in the 90th minute.
- Real Betis chased the score almost all match: Levante scored as early as the 24th minute.
Draw or Real Betis ahead at half-time75%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 24′ Levante, 34′ Real Betis, 45′ Levante, 45′ Real Betis.
Under 3.5 goals73%lost
- The two teams had 16 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
At most 1 goal before half-time67%lost
Over 2.5 goals51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLevante 17th, Real Betis 3rd (La Liga)

During the match

During the match24′ opening goal, Levante (1-0)
During the match34′ equaliser, Real Betis (1-1)
During the match45′ Levante retake the lead (2-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Real Betis (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match56′ Levante retake the lead (3-2)
During the match70′ Levante go 2 goals up (4-2)
During the match90′ last goal, Levante

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Real Betis” goes from 81.8% to 78.3% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes