Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Deportivo La Coruña

3-1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 1–0

Valencia

What Janus-12 said

71%

Deportivo La Coruña or Valencia

81% success over 26 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 09:52.

Sealed on 30/08, 18:30announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 23 matches in this league
75%✗
65% success over 26 matches in this league
78%✗
58% success over 26 matches in this league
69%✗
56% success over 9 matches in this league
56%✗

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

1/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Deportivo La Coruña or Valencia71%held
Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time75%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 13′ Deportivo La Coruña, 17′ Deportivo La Coruña, 26′ Valencia.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 4 in total.
- The chances said so: 2.75 expected goals in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time69%lost
Under 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo La Coruña 7th, Valencia 19th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Deportivo La Coruña (1-0)
During the match17′ Deportivo La Coruña go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match90′ sending-off, Deportivo La Coruña (A. Altimira)

What it changes

In this league, “Deportivo La Coruña or Valencia” goes from 80.8% to 81.5% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Deportivo La Coruña on the left, Valencia on the right.

First half

13'Own goal · C. Tarrega
17'Goal · P. Aubameyang (assist : M. Soriano)
Goal · U. Sadiq26'

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

59'Own goal · M. Diakhaby
Substitution · R. Sato ⇄ H. Duro60'
Substitution · L. Rioja ⇄ D. Otorbi60'
Substitution · J. Guerra ⇄ A. Danjuma60'
64'Substitution · R. Rodriguez ⇄ T. Gijselhart
Yellow card · M. Diakhaby64'
Substitution · Pepelu ⇄ A. Dieng66'
73'Substitution · Cruz Luismi ⇄ Y. Hernandez
73'Substitution · M. Soriano ⇄ A. Altimira
Substitution · A. Martinez ⇄ D. Raba82'
83'Substitution · X. Navarro ⇄ M. Loureiro
83'Substitution · B. Nsongo ⇄ J. Asp
90+3'Yellow card · A. Altimira
90+3'Red card · A. Altimira

What we announced

1/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Deportivo La Coruña or Valencia71%held
Draw or Valencia ahead at half-time75%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 13′ Deportivo La Coruña, 17′ Deportivo La Coruña, 26′ Valencia.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 4 in total.
- The chances said so: 2.75 expected goals in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time69%lost
Under 2.5 goals56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo La Coruña 7th, Valencia 19th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Deportivo La Coruña (1-0)
During the match17′ Deportivo La Coruña go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match90′ sending-off, Deportivo La Coruña (A. Altimira)

What it changes

In this league, “Deportivo La Coruña or Valencia” goes from 80.8% to 81.5% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes