Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Celta de Vigo

0-2full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 0–0

Athletic Club

What Janus-12 said

77%

Celta de Vigo or draw

81% success over 26 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 23 %

A prediction at 77 % fails 23 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Celta de Vigo or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 30/08, 20:30announced on 17/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 23 matches in this league
66%✓
65% success over 26 matches in this league
77%✓
58% success over 26 matches in this league
69%✗
56% success over 9 matches in this league
54%✓

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Celta de Vigo or draw77%lost
- Celta de Vigo chased the score almost all match: Athletic Club scored as early as the 20th minute.
Draw or Athletic Club ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 20′ Athletic Club, 22′ Athletic Club.
Under 3.5 goals77%held
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
- The volume of chances went no further: 3.2 expected goals in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time69%lost
Under 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCelta de Vigo 14th, Athletic Club 10th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, Athletic Club (0-1)
During the match22′ Athletic Club go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2

What it changes

In this league, “Celta de Vigo or draw” goes from 80.8% to 77.8% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,890 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Celta de Vigo on the left, Athletic Club on the right.

First half

Goal · A. Berenguer (assist : I. Williams)20'
Goal · R. Navarro (assist : I. Ruiz de Galarreta)22'

Half-time0 - 2

Second half

46'Substitution · H. Gonzalez ⇄ I. Aspas
46'Substitution · J. Rodriguez ⇄ J. Rueda
46'Substitution · A. Faye ⇄ Y. Lago
46'Substitution · I. Moriba ⇄ M. Roman
Yellow card · Y. Berchiche48'
57'Substitution · W. Swedberg ⇄ H. Alvarez
Yellow card · R. Navarro61'
Substitution · I. Williams ⇄ G. Guruzeta65'
Substitution · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ⇄ M. Jauregizar65'
Substitution · O. Sancet ⇄ P. Canales65'
Yellow card · B. Gerenabarrena71'
Substitution · R. Navarro ⇄ N. Williams74'
Substitution · J. Areso ⇄ J. Louis-Jean86'

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Celta de Vigo or draw77%lost
- Celta de Vigo chased the score almost all match: Athletic Club scored as early as the 20th minute.
Draw or Athletic Club ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 20′ Athletic Club, 22′ Athletic Club.
Under 3.5 goals77%held
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
- The volume of chances went no further: 3.2 expected goals in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time69%lost
Under 2.5 goals54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCelta de Vigo 14th, Athletic Club 10th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, Athletic Club (0-1)
During the match22′ Athletic Club go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2

What it changes

In this league, “Celta de Vigo or draw” goes from 80.8% to 77.8% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,890 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes