Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

Deportivo Alavés

1-0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–0

Villarreal

What Janus-12 said

72%

Deportivo Alavés or Villarreal

81% success over 21 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Deportivo Alavés or Villarreal

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 28/08, 04:45.

Sealed on 28/08, 20:30announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 21 matches in this league
71%✗
71% success over 21 matches in this league
71%✓
67% success over 21 matches in this league
64%✓
67% success over 21 matches in this league
54%✗

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Deportivo Alavés or Villarreal72%held
Draw or Villarreal ahead at half-time71%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 31′ Deportivo Alavés.
Under 3.5 goals71%held
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
- The volume of chances went no further: 2.09 expected goals in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time64%held
Over 2.5 goals54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Alavés 6th, Villarreal 9th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Deportivo Alavés (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Deportivo Alavés or Villarreal” goes from 81% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Deportivo Alavés on the left, Villarreal on the right.

First half

31'Goal · L. Boye (assist : A. Perez)
45+2'Yellow card · Q. Sanchez Flores

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

48'Yellow card · A. Rebbach
54'Substitution · T. Martinez ⇄ M. Diaz
54'Substitution · M. Rodriguez ⇄ Yusi
Substitution · S. Comesana ⇄ A. Perez62'
Substitution · S. Mourino ⇄ A. Freeman62'
Substitution · T. Buchanan ⇄ A. Moleiro63'
Substitution · G. Moreno ⇄ I. Akhomach70'
71'Substitution · A. Rebbach ⇄ D. Suarez
71'Substitution · A. Perez ⇄ C. Protesoni
82'Substitution · L. Boye ⇄ A. Manas
Substitution · G. Mikautadze ⇄ T. Oluwaseyi82'
Yellow card · N. Pepe86'
89'Yellow card · M. Diaz
90+2'Yellow card · A. Sivera
Yellow card · R. Veiga90+2'

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Deportivo Alavés or Villarreal72%held
Draw or Villarreal ahead at half-time71%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 31′ Deportivo Alavés.
Under 3.5 goals71%held
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 1 goal.
- The volume of chances went no further: 2.09 expected goals in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time64%held
Over 2.5 goals54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDeportivo Alavés 6th, Villarreal 9th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Deportivo Alavés (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0

What it changes

In this league, “Deportivo Alavés or Villarreal” goes from 81% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes