Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

La Liga · Spain

full time

Thursday, 27 August 2026

Celta de Vigo

1-2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–2

Osasuna

What Janus-12 said

79%

Celta de Vigo or draw

83% success over 18 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 21 %

A prediction at 79 % fails 21 % of the time: it happened.

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/08, 16:02.

Sealed on 27/08, 19:30announced on 15/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 18 matches in this league
63%✗
72% success over 18 matches in this league
79%✓
67% success over 18 matches in this league
69%✓
67% success over 18 matches in this league
51%✓
44% success over 18 matches in this league
50%✗

La Liga

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+24	21
2	Atlético de Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruña	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	-7	8
14	Celta de Vigo	7	1	4	2	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	0	7
16	Santander	7	2	1	4	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Málaga	7	0	3	4	-9	3

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Celta de Vigo or draw79%lost
- Celta de Vigo finished with ten men: sent off in the 51st minute, 39 minutes a man down.
Draw or Osasuna ahead at half-time63%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 14′ Celta de Vigo.
Under 3.5 goals79%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 51st minute, on the Celta de Vigo side.
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Over 2.5 goals51%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 14th minute, 3 in total.
- The chances said so: 2.81 expected goals in total.
Celta de Vigo to win50%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCelta de Vigo 14th, Osasuna 13th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Celta de Vigo (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ sending-off, Celta de Vigo (M. Alonso)
During the match54′ equaliser, Osasuna (1-1)
During the match63′ turnaround, Osasuna go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Celta de Vigo or draw” goes from 83.3% to 78.9% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,161 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Celta de Vigo on the left, Osasuna on the right.

First half

14'Goal · I. Aspas (assist : M. Roman)
Yellow card · J. Moncayola27'

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Substitution · J. Moncayola ⇄ I. Munoz46'
51'Red card · M. Alonso
52'Substitution · I. Aspas ⇄ C. Starfelt
Goal · K. Barja (assist : R. Garcia)54'
Substitution · J. Dubasin ⇄ A. Budimir58'
Substitution · J. Herrando ⇄ R. Garcia58'
Penalty goal · A. Budimir63'
65'Substitution · J. Galan ⇄ S. Carreira
65'Substitution · J. Rueda ⇄ H. Alvarez
65'Substitution · W. Swedberg ⇄ J. El Abdellaoui
Substitution · K. Barja ⇄ M. Gomez74'
79'Substitution · P. Duran ⇄ F. Jutgla
Substitution · R. Garcia ⇄ A. Oroz82'

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Celta de Vigo or draw79%lost
- Celta de Vigo finished with ten men: sent off in the 51st minute, 39 minutes a man down.
Draw or Osasuna ahead at half-time63%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 14′ Celta de Vigo.
Under 3.5 goals79%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 51st minute, on the Celta de Vigo side.
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 3 goals.
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
Over 2.5 goals51%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 14th minute, 3 in total.
- The chances said so: 2.81 expected goals in total.
Celta de Vigo to win50%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCelta de Vigo 14th, Osasuna 13th (La Liga)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Celta de Vigo (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ sending-off, Celta de Vigo (M. Alonso)
During the match54′ equaliser, Osasuna (1-1)
During the match63′ turnaround, Osasuna go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Celta de Vigo or draw” goes from 83.3% to 78.9% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,161 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

La Liga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes