Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 3 October at 17:30. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 16:00.

Change noted on 24/09.

Cádiz

4–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 3–0

Leganés

What Janus-12 said

93%

Under 4.5 goals

87% success over 76 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 17:30announced on 20/09/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 75 matches in this league
71%✓
74% success over 76 matches in this league
66%✓
71% success over 76 matches in this league
81%✗
53% success over 75 matches in this league
60%✗

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Cádiz or Leganés71%held
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
Under 2.5 goals60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCádiz 19th, Leganés 13th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Cádiz (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Cádiz go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match83′ last goal, Cádiz

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 86.8% to 87% success rate, over 77 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Cádiz on the left, Leganés on the right.

First half

6'Goal · Antonio Cordero (assist : Vladyslav Kopotun)
Yellow card · Yassine Kechta43'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

54'Goal · Vladyslav Kopotun
55'Substitution · Marc-Olivier Doué ⇄ Aimen Moueffek
Substitution · Patrick Soko ⇄ Dani Rodriguez61'
Substitution · Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez ⇄ Rubén Pulido61'
Substitution · Marvelous Antolín Garzón ⇄ Unax del Cura61'
Substitution · Miguel Atienza ⇄ Zico Buurmeester61'
Yellow card · Naim Garcia62'
69'Yellow card · Manuel Fernández Arroyo
71'Goal · Antonio Cordero (assist : Aimen Moueffek)
Yellow card · Rubén Pulido73'
74'Yellow card · Juan Díaz Peregrina
78'Substitution · Juan Díaz Peregrina ⇄ Beñat de Jesús Domingo
78'Substitution · Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn ⇄ Borja Vazquez
Substitution · Francisco Montero ⇄ Álvaro Tejero79'
83'Goal · Aimen Moueffek (assist : Borja Vazquez)
84'Substitution · Vladyslav Kopotun ⇄ Damián Rodríguez Sousa
84'Substitution · Jandro Orellana ⇄ Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
- The two teams managed only 10 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Cádiz or Leganés71%held
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
Under 2.5 goals60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCádiz 19th, Leganés 13th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Cádiz (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Cádiz go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match83′ last goal, Cádiz

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 86.8% to 87% success rate, over 77 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes