Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 3 October at 13:00. Originally planned for Sunday 4 October at 16:00.

Change noted on 24/09.

Albacete

1–3full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–3

SD Eibar

What Janus-12 said

88%

Under 4.5 goals

86% success over 74 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 13:00announced on 20/09/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 73 matches in this league
79%✓
73% success over 74 matches in this league
66%✓
72% success over 74 matches in this league
76%✗
55% success over 73 matches in this league
59%✗
43% success over 74 matches in this league
55%✓

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%held
- The two teams managed only 12 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Draw or SD Eibar79%held
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals76%lost
Under 2.5 goals59%lost
SD Eibar to win55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlbacete 22nd, SD Eibar 1st (Segunda)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Albacete (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, SD Eibar (1-1)
During the match66′ turnaround, SD Eibar go ahead (1-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, SD Eibar go ahead (1-3)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Pejiño (SD Eibar)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 86.5% to 86.7% success rate, over 75 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Albacete on the left, SD Eibar on the right.

First half

3'Goal · Roberto Gonzalez Bayon
45'Substitution · Víctor San Bartolomé ⇄ Jesús Vallejo

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Goal · Ander Madariaga Susaeta48'
51'Yellow card · Lluís Lopez
Substitution · Iván Gil ⇄ Jon Magunazelaia59'
Own goal · Lluís Lopez66'
67'Substitution · Mario Soberon Gutierrez ⇄ Higinio Marín
67'Substitution · Victor Valverde da Silva ⇄ Munir El Haddadi
67'Substitution · Roberto Gonzalez Bayon ⇄ Álex Rubio Roldán
Substitution · Alvaro Rodriguez ⇄ Sergio Cubero69'
Substitution · Jon Bautista ⇄ Javier Martón Ansó69'
73'Yellow card · Agustin Medina Delgado
Yellow card · Malcom Ares77'
79'Substitution · Agustin Medina Delgado ⇄ Agustin Albarracin Basil
Substitution · jon guruzeta ⇄ Jair Amador85'
Substitution · Malcom Ares ⇄ Pejiño85'
Goal · Pejiño (assist : Javier Martón Ansó)90+4'

What we announced

4/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%held
- The two teams managed only 12 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Draw or SD Eibar79%held
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 3rd minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals76%lost
Under 2.5 goals59%lost
SD Eibar to win55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlbacete 22nd, SD Eibar 1st (Segunda)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Albacete (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, SD Eibar (1-1)
During the match66′ turnaround, SD Eibar go ahead (1-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, SD Eibar go ahead (1-3)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: Pejiño (SD Eibar)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 86.5% to 86.7% success rate, over 75 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes