Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Sunday 27 September at 13:00. Originally planned for Sunday 27 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 04/09.

Real Valladolid

3–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–0

Cordoba

What Janus-12 said

92%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 67 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/09, 08:30.

Sealed on 27/09, 13:00announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 66 matches in this league
71%✓
73% success over 67 matches in this league
67%✓
73% success over 67 matches in this league
81%✗
55% success over 66 matches in this league
62%✗

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Real Valladolid or draw71%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Real Valladolid against 4.
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 4th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
Under 2.5 goals62%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Valladolid 14th, Cordoba 15th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Cordoba (0-1)
During the match38′ equaliser, Real Valladolid (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match54′ turnaround, Real Valladolid go ahead (2-1)
During the match73′ turnaround, Real Valladolid go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.1% to 88.2% success rate, over 68 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Real Valladolid on the left, Cordoba on the right.

First half

3'Yellow card · Juan Miguel Latasa
Own goal · Miguel Rubio4'
23'Yellow card · Luis Rodríguez Chacón
38'Goal · Adrian Arnu (assist : Julien Ponceau)
45'Substitution · Miguel Rubio ⇄ Pablo Tomeo Félez
Substitution · Álex Martín ⇄ Juan Gutiérrez45'
Substitution · Kevin Villodres Medina ⇄ Diego Bri45'
Yellow card · Kevin Villodres Medina45+2'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

54'Goal · Víctor Fernández (assist : Adrian Arnu)
Yellow card · Juan Gutiérrez60'
62'Missed penalty · Juan Miguel Latasa
63'Substitution · Adrian Arnu ⇄ Victor Barbera
Substitution · Cristian Carracedo ⇄ Enol Rodríguez Heres68'
Substitution · Youssouf Diarra ⇄ Théo Zidane68'
72'Substitution · Juan Miguel Latasa ⇄ Robin van Duiven
72'Substitution · Víctor Fernández ⇄ Yeray Cabanzón
73'Goal · Victor Barbera (assist : Yeray Cabanzón)
Substitution · Carlos Albarran ⇄ Salim El Jebari78'
81'Substitution · Julien Ponceau ⇄ Mathis Lachuer
Yellow card · Diego Bri90+6'
90+7'Yellow card · David Torres

What we announced

3/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals92%held
- The two teams managed only 11 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Real Valladolid or draw71%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Real Valladolid against 4.
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 4th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals81%lost
Under 2.5 goals62%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Valladolid 14th, Cordoba 15th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Cordoba (0-1)
During the match38′ equaliser, Real Valladolid (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match54′ turnaround, Real Valladolid go ahead (2-1)
During the match73′ turnaround, Real Valladolid go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.1% to 88.2% success rate, over 68 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes