Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 26 September at 17:30. Originally planned for Sunday 27 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 04/09.

Tenerife

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Cádiz

What Janus-12 said

91%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 65 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 26/09, 17:30announced on 12/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

73% success over 64 matches in this league
79%✓
72% success over 65 matches in this league
69%✓
72% success over 65 matches in this league
78%✓
53% success over 64 matches in this league
57%✓
42% success over 65 matches in this league
55%✗

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals91%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Tenerife or draw79%held
- Tenerife were never behind.
- Tenerife took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
Over 1.5 goals69%held
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals78%held
Under 2.5 goals57%held
Tenerife to win55%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTenerife 12th, Cádiz 19th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Tenerife (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match74′ equaliser, Cádiz (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.7% to 87.9% success rate, over 66 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Tenerife on the left, Cádiz on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Javier Castro8'
25'Goal · Enric Gallego

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Borja Vazquez ⇄ Efe Ugiagbe Aghama56'
Substitution · Jandro Orellana ⇄ Dilan Zárate56'
59'Substitution · Gerard Valentín ⇄ Dani Fernández
59'Substitution · Martin Pečar ⇄ Ivan Chapela
Substitution · Antonio Cordero ⇄ Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi70'
70'Substitution · Víctor Moreno Alcalá ⇄ Christian Pierre Louis Gomis
Goal · Vladyslav Kopotun (assist : Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn)74'
81'Substitution · Enric Gallego ⇄ Jesús De Miguel Alameda
81'Substitution · Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa ⇄ Mauro Pitton
Substitution · Marc-Olivier Doué ⇄ Damián Rodríguez Sousa83'
Substitution · Vladyslav Kopotun ⇄ Álvaro García Pascual83'
Yellow card · Sergio Arribas Prieto86'
88'Yellow card · Dani Fernández
Yellow card · Álvaro García Pascual90+2'

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals91%held
- The two teams managed only 6 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Tenerife or draw79%held
- Tenerife were never behind.
- Tenerife took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
Over 1.5 goals69%held
- The two teams had 6 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals78%held
Under 2.5 goals57%held
Tenerife to win55%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTenerife 12th, Cádiz 19th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Tenerife (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match74′ equaliser, Cádiz (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.7% to 87.9% success rate, over 66 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,943 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes